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Forecast

The Troffs (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 16° 28°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:04am EDT 6:31am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:44pm EDT
    NOW
    18.5° Feels Like: 14.8°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: SE 26km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    The Troffs
    Now
    18.7°c
    Feels Like:
    15.6°
    Wind:
    SE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    78%
    Clearing shower
     
    16°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in The Troffs
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible on the plains. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    16°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for The Troffs

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible on the plains. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 35.

    Forecast for The Troffs (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 19° 19° 19° 20° 14° 13°
    Maximum 28° 32° 34° 34° 28° 29° 32°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 30% 70% 50% 5% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 20-40mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE NE WNW ESE SW ENE NNE WNW WSW SSW SW SE SE
    Relative humidity 84% 59% 77% 47% 72% 43% 67% 40% 64% 46% 59% 34% 58% 31%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 14°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Troffs Rain Forecast


    The Troffs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Troffs Rain Forecast


    The Troffs 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    8
    7
    7
    8
    4
    7
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Troffs Rain Forecast


    The Troffs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Troffs Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    22.0 °C 40.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    24.0 °C 38.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    27.4 °C 34.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    22.4 °C 37.2 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    20.4 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Troffs minimum temp history (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.1° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.0° 18/01/2021
    Hottest on record 46.0 03/01/1973 Coldest on record 7.0 13/01/1975
    Hottest this year 40.1° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.0° 18/01/2021
    Long term average 34.2° Long term average 18.7°
    Average this month 35.1° Average this month 17.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.8° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.2° 1975
    The Troffs rainfall history (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.0mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 56.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 45.9mm 5.5 days Wettest January on record 253.6mm 1984
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1965
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    The Troffs Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 45.9mm 5.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 56.8mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 10.5mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 19.0mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 10.0°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    The Troffs Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.2 33.0 29.5 24.7 19.7 15.8 15.0 17.0 20.8 25.3 29.0 32.1 24.6
    Mean Min (°C) 18.7 18.3 15.0 10.2 6.6 4.1 3.0 3.5 6.0 9.6 13.5 16.4 10.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 45.9 43.7 41.5 31.5 34.5 32.8 35.2 33.4 31.9 46.5 39.9 41.5 456.4
    Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.1 5.3 4.9 7.4 9.7 10.3 8.5 7.1 7.0 6.1 5.7 82.5