Forecast
The Troffs (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW16° 28° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:04am EDT 6:31am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:44pm EDT NOW18.5° Feels Like: 14.8° Relative Humidity: 76% Dew: 14.2° Wind: SE 26km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
The TroffsNow18.7°cFeels Like:15.6°Wind:SE 24km/hGusts:28km/hHumidity:78%16°Min28°MaxToday in The TroffsCloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible on the plains. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 35.Tomorrow16°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for The Troffs
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible on the plains. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 35.
Forecast for The Troffs (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 16° 19° 19° 19° 20° 14° 13° Maximum 28° 32° 34° 34° 28° 29° 32° Chance of rain 60% 50% 30% 70% 50% 5% 20% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 20-40mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)24
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)23
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NE NE WNW ESE SW ENE NNE WNW WSW SSW SW SE SE Relative humidity 84% 59% 77% 47% 72% 43% 67% 40% 64% 46% 59% 34% 58% 31% Dew point 18°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 14°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
The Troffs Rain Forecast
The Troffs 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
LOW24
LOW25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
The Troffs Rain Forecast
The Troffs 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987877847556105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
The Troffs Rain Forecast
The Troffs 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
LOW24
LOW25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
The Troffs Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2422.0 °C 40.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2524.0 °C 38.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2627.4 °C 34.2 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2722.4 °C 37.2 °C 0.4 mmThursday
Jan 2820.4 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
The Troffs minimum temp history (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.1° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.0° 18/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.0 03/01/1973 Coldest on record 7.0 13/01/1975 Hottest this year 40.1° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.0° 18/01/2021 Long term average 34.2° Long term average 18.7° Average this month 35.1° Average this month 17.4° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.8° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.2° 1975 The Troffs rainfall history (32.8166°S, 147.6333°E, 261m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 19.0mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 56.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 45.9mm 5.5 days Wettest January on record 253.6mm 1984 Driest on record 0.0mm 1965 -
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Year to Date
The Troffs Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 45.9mm 5.5 day(s) Total For 2021 56.8mm 6.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 10.5mm 3.0 day(s) Wettest Day 19.0mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 10.0°C Jan18 Highest Temperature 40.1°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
The Troffs Climatology
The Troffs Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.2 33.0 29.5 24.7 19.7 15.8 15.0 17.0 20.8 25.3 29.0 32.1 24.6 Mean Min (°C) 18.7 18.3 15.0 10.2 6.6 4.1 3.0 3.5 6.0 9.6 13.5 16.4 10.4 Mean Rain (mm) 45.9 43.7 41.5 31.5 34.5 32.8 35.2 33.4 31.9 46.5 39.9 41.5 456.4 Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.1 5.3 4.9 7.4 9.7 10.3 8.5 7.1 7.0 6.1 5.7 82.5