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Forecast

The Shades (33.05°S, 148.8833°E, 554m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am EST 6:38am EST 5:37pm EST 6:02pm EST
    NOW
    1.4° Feels Like: -6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 91%
    Dew: 0.1°
    Wind: WSW 28km/h
    Gust: WSW 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    The Shades
    Now
    6.2°c
    Feels Like:
    0.6°
    Wind:
    WSW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in The Shades
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the south, mainly in the southwest. and possibly falling as snow above 700 metres this morning. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    -2°
    Min
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Slight chance of a shower in the south, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 2 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the south, mainly in the southwest. and possibly falling as snow above 700 metres this morning. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 14.

    Forecast for The Shades (33.05°S, 148.8833°E, 554m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Frost then sunny Windy with showers Windy with showers Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny
    Minimum -2° -2° -1°
    Maximum 13° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 70% 60% 5% 20% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk High Severe Moderate Moderate Severe Severe High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW SSE W NW WNW NNW WNW
    Relative humidity 88% 54% 83% 64% 95% 78% 93% 60% 68% 37% 67% 44% 64% 42%
    Dew point 1°C -1°C 0°C 2°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 2°C -0°C -1°C 2°C 2°C 2°C 1°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Shades Rain Forecast


    The Shades 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Shades Rain Forecast


    The Shades 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    4
    4
    4
    5
    5
    5
    7
    6
    5
    4
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Shades Rain Forecast


    The Shades 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Shades Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Aug 14
    -5.2 °C 11.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 15
    -3.6 °C 11.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Aug 16
    -2.1 °C 15.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    0.3 °C 15.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    1.3 °C 18 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Shades minimum temp history (33.05°S, 148.8833°E, 554m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.8° 16/08/2019 Coldest this month -5.2° 14/08/2019
    Hottest on record 19.5 23/08/2009 Coldest on record -6.2 03/08/1999
    Hottest this year 37.5° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.2° 20/06/2019
    Long term average 11.2° Long term average 0.9°
    Average this month 11.0° Average this month -1.3°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.3° 2002 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -0.9° 2002
    The Shades rainfall history (33.05°S, 148.8833°E, 554m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.4mm 11/08/2019 Total This Month 30.0mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 86.6mm 15.8 days Wettest August on record 240.8mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    The Shades Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 564.0mm 97.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 357.6mm 82.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 259.6mm 73.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.6mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature -5.2°C Jun20
    Highest Temperature 37.5°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    The Shades Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 26.0 22.9 18.7 14.1 10.8 9.7 11.2 14.8 18.1 21.8 24.7 18.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.7 12.6 9.8 5.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.9 3.3 5.5 8.4 10.4 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.2 77.5 71.0 44.9 50.5 87.9 83.4 86.6 83.9 75.6 83.7 91.5 897.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.0 8.4 7.8 12.5 18.2 19.1 15.8 11.7 9.4 10.0 9.0 132.4