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Forecast

The Gulf (30.0722°S, 152.1598°E, 884m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers 17° 22°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:15am EDT 7:50pm EDT 8:16pm EDT
    NOW
    16.5° Feels Like: 12.4°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: E 28km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    The Gulf
    Now
    17.8°c
    Feels Like:
    15.8°
    Wind:
    E 18km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Showers
     
    17°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in The Gulf
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers on and E of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    17°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on and E of the ranges in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm on and E of the ranges in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for The Gulf

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers on and E of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.

    Forecast for The Gulf (30.0722°S, 152.1598°E, 884m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 16° 17° 16° 15° 17° 17°
    Maximum 22° 23° 25° 23° 25° 25° 23°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 90% 60% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E NNE ENE NNE E E E NNE NNE N ENE ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 89% 81% 84% 72% 81% 75% 86% 65% 78% 68% 78% 73% 83% 77%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Gulf Rain Forecast


    The Gulf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Gulf Rain Forecast


    The Gulf 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    6
    8
    8
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Gulf Rain Forecast


    The Gulf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Gulf Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    13.4 °C 25.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    15.5 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    15.7 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    17.0 °C 29.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    18.0 °C -
    29.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Gulf minimum temp history (30.0722°S, 152.1598°E, 884m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.2° 17/01/2021
    Hottest on record 36.3 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.5 20/01/2010
    Hottest this year 29.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.2° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 24.6° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 23.4° Average this month 14.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 1997
    The Gulf rainfall history (30.0722°S, 152.1598°E, 884m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 65.4mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 304.4mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 274.4mm 15.3 days Wettest January on record 881.6mm 2012
    Driest on record 29.5mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    The Gulf Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 274.4mm 15.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 304.4mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 247.4mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 65.4mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 10.2°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 29.0°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    The Gulf Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.6 23.8 22.4 19.9 17.2 14.9 14.7 16.2 19.3 21.3 22.5 24.0 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 13.7 10.8 7.4 5.5 4.5 4.7 7.6 9.9 12.1 14.0 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 274.4 291.8 308.4 130.6 118.6 133.2 56.1 93.2 78.0 133.1 165.9 200.4 1973.0
    Mean Rain Days 15.3 16.5 18.2 14.0 10.9 10.5 8.8 7.1 8.8 12.6 15.0 16.3 153.4