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Forecast

The Grove (35.2231°S, 147.936°E, 342m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Rain 16° 22°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:55am EDT 6:23am EDT 8:18pm EDT 8:46pm EDT
    NOW
    17.8° Feels Like: 18.7°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 15.1°
    Wind: S 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 19.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    The Grove
    Now
    16.7°c
    Feels Like:
    13.0°
    Wind:
    E 28km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Rain
     
    16°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in The Grove
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely. Heavy falls possible. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    16°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/NW in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely. Heavy falls possible. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24.

    Forecast for The Grove (35.2231°S, 147.936°E, 342m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Rain Heavy showers Mostly sunny Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Cloud increasing
    Minimum 16° 19° 17° 18° 18° 13° 12°
    Maximum 22° 29° 32° 31° 24° 25° 28°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 30% 50% 60% 20% 40%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE NE WNW ENE ENE ENE NE NW W NNW WNW ESE NW
    Relative humidity 79% 79% 88% 66% 80% 48% 71% 50% 79% 58% 71% 48% 72% 45%
    Dew point 15°C 18°C 20°C 22°C 19°C 19°C 16°C 19°C 16°C 15°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Grove Rain Forecast


    The Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Grove Rain Forecast


    The Grove 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    7
    6
    7
    8
    4
    5
    4
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Grove Rain Forecast


    The Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    The Grove Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for The Grove

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Grove Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    16.0 °C 39.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    19.0 °C 38.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    22.0 °C 29.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    20.5 °C 29.0 °C
    35.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    20.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Grove minimum temp history (35.2231°S, 147.936°E, 342m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 8.0° 17/01/2021
    Hottest on record 43.7 30/01/2003 Coldest on record 0.0 13/01/2016
    Hottest this year 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.0° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 32.8° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 31.4° Average this month 15.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.2° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 2000
    The Grove rainfall history (35.2231°S, 147.936°E, 342m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 35.0mm 27/01/2021 Total This Month 44.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.6mm 6.1 days Wettest January on record 103.8mm 1999
    Driest on record 7.0mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    The Grove Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 41.6mm 6.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 44.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 40.3mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 35.0mm Jan27
    Lowest Temperature 8.0°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    The Grove Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.8 31.3 28.0 23.2 17.8 14.1 13.1 14.9 18.5 22.7 26.7 30.0 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.6 13.4 8.9 4.9 3.2 2.6 3.1 5.3 8.2 11.8 14.3 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 41.6 48.2 49.4 31.4 38.9 61.6 61.6 56.5 59.2 52.0 66.9 59.7 615.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.8 6.2 5.5 9.0 14.9 17.5 13.0 10.4 8.6 7.8 7.0 109.5