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Forecast

Termeil (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 15° 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:47pm EDT 8:15pm EDT
    NOW
    16.2° Feels Like: 15.4°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 11.1°
    Wind: SW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Termeil
    Now
    15.4°c
    Feels Like:
    15.3°
    Wind:
    WNW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    82%
    Mostly sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Termeil
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming NE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.

    Forecast for Termeil (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy Mostly cloudy Late shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Late shower
    Minimum 15° 16° 18° 16° 16° 16° 18°
    Maximum 21° 26° 22° 23° 22° 25° 26°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 30% 50% 40% 10% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE ENE NE NE SSW SSE SSE SE SSW ESE NNE ENE WSW SSW
    Relative humidity 71% 66% 67% 57% 69% 71% 81% 76% 73% 69% 79% 69% 61% 66%
    Dew point 13°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast


    Termeil 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast


    Termeil 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    8
    7
    7
    7
    4
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast


    Termeil 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Termeil Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15
    6.8 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    15.0 °C 20.1 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    13.6 °C 22.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    9.6 °C 27.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    10.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Termeil minimum temp history (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.7° 12/11/2019 Coldest this month 6.5° 09/11/2019
    Hottest on record 41.0 25/11/2002 Coldest on record 1.0 04/11/1994
    Hottest this year 37.0° 31/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.7° 21/06/2019
    Long term average 23.1° Long term average 12.2°
    Average this month 25.9° Average this month 9.7°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.5° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1994
    Termeil rainfall history (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.4mm 16/11/2019 Total This Month 0.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 98.0mm 11.6 days Wettest November on record 199.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Termeil Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 852.4mm 99.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 151.9mm 27.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 422.2mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 72.0mm Jun 4
    Lowest Temperature -0.7°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 37.0°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Termeil Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.9 25.5 24.5 22.2 19.8 17.4 17.0 18.3 20.3 22.0 23.1 24.6 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.0 14.0 10.5 7.1 5.1 3.8 4.6 7.4 9.7 12.2 14.1 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.6 99.0 80.2 67.3 59.9 85.1 44.8 72.4 62.1 96.0 98.0 82.4 936.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.1 10.5 8.3 7.4 8.1 6.5 6.5 8.7 9.5 11.6 11.2 102.2