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Forecast

Termeil (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 11° 15°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:32am EST 7:00am EST 4:53pm EST 5:21pm EST
    NOW
    14.3° Feels Like: 3.1°
    Relative Humidity: 56%
    Dew: 5.6°
    Wind: S 52km/h
    Gust: 63km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Termeil
    Now
    11.4°c
    Feels Like:
    8.1°
    Wind:
    SW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Termeil
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost inland. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Areas of frost and patchy fog in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost inland. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16.

    Forecast for Termeil (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Thunderstorms Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 11° 8° 9° 11° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 15° 16° 16° 15° 15° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 50% 70% 50% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSW WNW SE W S SW SSW SW SSW WNW NE NNW NW
    Relative humidity 62% 60% 69% 57% 72% 64% 75% 73% 71% 63% 72% 65% 70% 64%
    Dew point 5°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 11°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast

    Termeil 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    Jul 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast

    Termeil 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    4
    9
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Termeil Rain Forecast

    Termeil 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    Jul 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Termeil Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    May 30     		10.9 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 31     		13.3 °C 21.3 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Jun 01     		12.8 °C 20.2 °C
    0.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02     		8.7 °C 15.5 °C
    1.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03     		9.4 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Termeil minimum temp history (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.2° 01/06/2020 Coldest this month 8.7° 02/06/2020
    Hottest on record 23.5 09/06/1995 Coldest on record 3.3 27/06/2002
    Hottest this year 39.3° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.7° 11/05/2020
    Long term average 17.0° Long term average 10.0°
    Average this month 17.1° Average this month 10.3°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.7° 2001 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 8.3° 2000
    Termeil rainfall history (35.4872°S, 150.3393°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.6mm 02/06/2020 Total This Month 2.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 132.0mm 10.4 days Wettest June on record 384.6mm 2007
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2003

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Termeil Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 675.2mm 70.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 647.6mm 91.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 219.8mm 46.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 121.6mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 8.7°C May11
    Highest Temperature 39.3°C Jan23

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Termeil Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.3 24.3 23.3 21.4 19.1 17.0 16.3 17.4 19.1 20.8 21.6 23.0 20.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.4 17.7 16.5 13.9 11.8 10.0 8.9 9.2 10.8 12.3 14.1 15.9 13.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 92.5 117.1 118.5 110.3 104.8 132.0 77.9 78.3 80.8 91.2 86.1 72.6 1161.0
    Mean Rain Days 13.0 12.9 13.0 11.7 9.2 10.4 8.7 7.6 10.0 10.7 13.7 12.1 126.8

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