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Forecast

Tarbuck Bay (32.3685°S, 152.4781°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 17°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am EST 6:31am EST 5:20pm EST 5:45pm EST
    NOW
    8.8° Feels Like: 5.0°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 4.4°
    Wind: W 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tarbuck Bay
    Now
    9.2°c
    Feels Like:
    5.1°
    Wind:
    W 20km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Tarbuck Bay
    Cloudy. The chance of morning fog inland. High chance of showers. Snow falling above 1500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning and early afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning, reaching up to 50 to 60 km/h along the coastal fringe. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    10°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. The chance of morning fog inland. High chance of showers. Snow falling above 1500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning and early afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning, reaching up to 50 to 60 km/h along the coastal fringe. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 17.

    Forecast for Tarbuck Bay (32.3685°S, 152.4781°E, 13m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Windy with showers Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 10° 13° 10°
    Maximum 17° 20° 23° 25° 23° 20° 20°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 30% 5% 90% 90% 40%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    42
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSW SW SSW NNE NE NNW ESE NW E N NNE WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 85% 83% 76% 63% 75% 66% 71% 63% 73% 70% 89% 85% 78% 62%
    Dew point 12°C 14°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 16°C 12°C 17°C 12°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 10°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tarbuck Bay Rain Forecast


    Tarbuck Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tarbuck Bay Rain Forecast


    Tarbuck Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    6
    8
    8
    7
    6
    10
    6
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tarbuck Bay Rain Forecast


    Tarbuck Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tarbuck Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    - -
    -
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Aug 07
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tarbuck Bay minimum temp history (32.3685°S, 152.4781°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 30.0 24/08/2009 Coldest on record 2.0 08/08/2012
    Hottest this year 35.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.0° 27/01/2020
    Long term average 19.4° Long term average 9.2°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2013 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 2008
    Tarbuck Bay rainfall history (32.3685°S, 152.4781°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 68.3mm 6.9 days Wettest August on record 629.1mm 1899
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1900
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Tarbuck Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 847.4mm 66.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 134.7mm 23.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 512.6mm 79.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.0mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C Jan27
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tarbuck Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.4 25.6 23.8 21.2 18.9 18.2 19.4 21.6 22.8 23.8 25.5 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.5 19.5 17.9 15.2 12.0 9.9 8.8 9.2 11.8 13.8 16.4 18.0 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.2 111.5 137.3 118.1 110.8 112.7 84.5 68.3 65.5 72.5 82.4 89.4 1156.8
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 8.4 9.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.8 8.3 7.6 95.8