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Forecast

Tara (34.491°S, 147.1825°E, 300m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 11° 27°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:32am EDT 6:57am EDT 7:51pm EDT 8:16pm EDT
    NOW
    18.0° Feels Like: 13.2°
    Relative Humidity: 43%
    Dew: 5.2°
    Wind: SSW 19km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tara
    Now
    19.8°c
    Feels Like:
    16.5°
    Wind:
    SSW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    43%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Tara
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm on the northern slopes. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h turning SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tara

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm on the northern slopes. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h turning SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.

    Forecast for Tara (34.491°S, 147.1825°E, 300m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Late shower Late shower
    Minimum 11° 12° 13° 17° 18° 19° 18°
    Maximum 27° 28° 31° 34° 35° 31° 29°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 60% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SW SW SW NE N NE NNW ENE SW E E E ENE
    Relative humidity 37% 16% 44% 25% 58% 25% 58% 24% 44% 20% 62% 32% 65% 43%
    Dew point 1°C -2°C 4°C 5°C 10°C 8°C 13°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tara Rain Forecast


    Tara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tara Rain Forecast


    Tara 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    5
    7
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tara Rain Forecast


    Tara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tara Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    15.6 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    18.1 °C 28.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    15.0 °C 32.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    20.1 °C 33.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    21.2 °C 30 °C
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tara minimum temp history (34.491°S, 147.1825°E, 300m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.4° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 10.0° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 45.0 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 4.2 19/02/2017
    Hottest this year 46.4° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.4° 25/01/2020
    Long term average 31.8° Long term average 16.5°
    Average this month 30.7° Average this month 18.4°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.1° 2006 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 2005
    Tara rainfall history (34.491°S, 147.1825°E, 300m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 28.8mm 11/02/2020 Total This Month 63.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.4mm 6.5 days Wettest February on record 196.2mm 2011
    Driest on record 0.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Tara Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 87.5mm 12.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 68.8mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 95.0mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.8mm Feb11
    Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jan25
    Highest Temperature 46.4°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tara Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.9 31.8 28.7 23.7 18.8 14.7 13.6 15.4 19.3 24.5 28.6 30.7 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 16.5 13.6 8.4 4.3 3.4 2.5 2.1 3.5 7.0 11.8 13.9 8.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 36.1 51.4 32.6 25.5 28.6 55.8 45.9 36.5 44.3 32.7 54.6 44.0 486.0
    Mean Rain Days 5.6 6.5 5.7 5.6 7.0 11.6 14.5 12.2 8.3 7.3 7.5 6.4 92.5