Forecast
Tamworth (31.0917°S, 150.9308°E, 382m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 31° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:35am EDT 7:00am EDT 7:09pm EDT 7:33pm EDT NOW29.2° Feels Like: 29.5° Relative Humidity: 46% Dew: 16.7° Wind: NW 9km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.7hPa -
Today Weather
TamworthNow30.9°cFeels Like:30.5°Wind:NW 11km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:39%15°Min31°MaxToday in TamworthMostly sunny. Medium chance of showers on the slopes, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 35.Tomorrow17°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Tamworth
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers on the slopes, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 35.
Forecast for Tamworth (31.0917°S, 150.9308°E, 382m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 15° 17° 15° 12° 13° 14° 14° Maximum 31° 31° 27° 29° 28° 28° 29° Chance of rain 30% 60% 20% 30% 50% 70% 40% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)16
(km/h)21
(km/h)25
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction ESE WNW NNE WSW SE SE ESE S SE SSW ESE SSE E WNW Relative humidity 77% 43% 68% 55% 60% 40% 59% 35% 68% 38% 73% 49% 70% 40% Dew point 17°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Tamworth Rain Forecast
Tamworth 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tamworth Rain Forecast
Tamworth 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025577778557858105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Tamworth Rain Forecast
Tamworth 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Tamworth Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1519.2 °C 30.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1614.1 °C 28.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1720.2 °C 29.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1818.0 °C 26.0 °C 31.6 mmTuesday
Mar 1916.1 °C 29.7 °C 64.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tamworth minimum temp history (31.0917°S, 150.9308°E, 382m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.0° 01/03/2024 Coldest this month 11.1° 13/03/2024 Hottest on record 39.0 14/03/1998 Coldest on record 1.9 30/03/2008 Hottest this year 40.1° 03/02/2024 Coldest this year 11.1° 13/03/2024 Long term average 29.3° Long term average 14.7° Average this month 32.7° Average this month 16.2° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.9° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.6° 2008 Tamworth rainfall history (31.0917°S, 150.9308°E, 382m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.6mm 18/03/2024 Total This Month 46.0mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 63.7mm 7.5 days Wettest March on record 132.6mm 2013 Driest on record 0.0mm 1998 -
Year to Date
Tamworth Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 198.5mm 21.4 day(s) Total For 2024 157.6mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 196.0mm 19.0 day(s) Wettest Day 31.6mm Mar18 Lowest Temperature 11.1°C Mar13 Highest Temperature 40.1°C Feb 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tamworth Climatology
Tamworth Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.0 31.6 29.3 25.4 20.7 17.1 16.5 18.6 22.1 25.7 28.5 30.9 24.9 Mean Min (°C) 17.7 16.9 14.7 9.9 5.7 3.5 2.3 2.9 5.9 9.7 13.3 15.7 9.8 Mean Rain (mm) 60.9 73.9 63.7 26.2 27.7 53.4 41.5 39.8 44.9 57.8 84.4 78.5 654.5 Mean Rain Days 6.7 7.2 7.5 4.0 4.8 8.7 8.7 6.3 6.7 8.1 8.5 8.8 85.8