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Forecast

Swan Vale (29.7698°S, 151.4847°E, 835m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 22°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:21am EST 5:45am EST 5:48pm EST 6:12pm EST
    NOW
    8.5° Feels Like: 5.9°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 7.9°
    Wind: SE 11km/h
    Gust: SE 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1027.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Swan Vale
    Now
    12.4°c
    Feels Like:
    10.0°
    Wind:
    N 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    71%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Swan Vale
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower in the north, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south from the late morning. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h turning NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Swan Vale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower in the north, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 26.

    Forecast for Swan Vale (29.7698°S, 151.4847°E, 835m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 22° 23° 23° 21° 20° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 10% 5% 20% 20% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil High High Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N NNW NW W W NE WNW NNW W N NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 58% 26% 58% 30% 52% 6% 36% 5% 51% 16% 49% 20% 55% 19%
    Dew point 8°C 2°C 9°C 5°C 8°C -17°C -0°C -20°C 4°C -6°C 5°C -4°C 8°C -3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Swan Vale Rain Forecast


    Swan Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September, 3 October to 7 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Swan Vale Rain Forecast


    Swan Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    6
    5
    9
    6
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Swan Vale Rain Forecast


    Swan Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September, 3 October to 7 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Swan Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 16
    3.0 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 17
    4.0 °C 21.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 18
    0.5 °C 18.0 °C
    3.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 19
    3.5 °C 21.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 20
    9.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Swan Vale minimum temp history (29.7698°S, 151.4847°E, 835m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.5° 06/09/2019 Coldest this month -2.0° 10/09/2019
    Hottest on record 28.0 25/09/2002 Coldest on record -4.5 14/09/1992
    Hottest this year 36.5° 19/01/2019 Coldest this year -12.5° 12/08/2019
    Long term average 17.1° Long term average 4.1°
    Average this month 20.8° Average this month 2.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.1° 1980 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 1.9° 1984
    Swan Vale rainfall history (29.7698°S, 151.4847°E, 835m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 18/09/2019 Total This Month 3.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.9mm 7.5 days Wettest September on record 276.4mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Swan Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 570.3mm 81.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 214.2mm 71.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 246.5mm 60.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.6mm Mar 9
    Lowest Temperature -12.5°C Aug12
    Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Swan Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 24.8 23.1 20.0 16.4 13.2 12.5 14.1 17.1 20.2 22.5 24.4 19.5
    Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.4 11.5 8.0 4.6 1.9 0.7 1.3 4.1 7.1 9.9 12.1 7.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 106.4 91.5 71.0 41.2 48.0 52.9 55.4 49.0 54.9 75.2 90.3 109.2 845.3
    Mean Rain Days 11.2 10.5 9.1 7.3 8.4 9.6 9.5 8.0 7.5 9.0 10.0 11.4 110.3