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Forecast

Sugarloaf (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 18° 24°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EDT 6:14am EDT 7:59pm EDT 8:26pm EDT
    NOW
    19.5° Feels Like: 20.5°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 18.8°
    Wind: SE 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 6.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Sugarloaf
    Now
    20.0°c
    Feels Like:
    19.3°
    Wind:
    SE 20km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Possible shower
     
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Sugarloaf
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Sugarloaf

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Sugarloaf (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Late shower Late shower Thunderstorms Late shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 19° 19° 19° 17° 18° 18°
    Maximum 24° 31° 28° 28° 29° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 70% 70% 60% 60% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE NE NNE SW S SE ESE N NE ESE SSE SSW ESE
    Relative humidity 96% 90% 83% 59% 84% 71% 86% 63% 75% 59% 79% 68% 81% 72%
    Dew point 20°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 18°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    8
    8
    6
    9
    5
    6
    4
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Sugarloaf Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    - 36.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    18.4 °C 36.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    21.6 °C 25.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    18.4 °C -
    23.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Sugarloaf minimum temp history (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.0° 25/01/2021 Coldest this month 13.0° 18/01/2021
    Hottest on record 43.5 13/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.2 01/01/1972
    Hottest this year 36.0° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 13.0° 18/01/2021
    Long term average 29.3° Long term average 17.2°
    Average this month 29.0° Average this month 16.3°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.9° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 1972
    Sugarloaf rainfall history (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 42.4mm 04/01/2021 Total This Month 118.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 123.8mm 12.3 days Wettest January on record 413.8mm 1972
    Driest on record 8.8mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Sugarloaf Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 123.8mm 12.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 118.6mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 55.6mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 42.4mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature 13.0°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Sugarloaf Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.3 26.4 23.5 19.9 16.9 16.4 18.3 21.4 24.3 26.2 28.8 23.3
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 15.3 12.7 10.0 7.7 6.4 6.9 9.3 11.9 13.9 16.0 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 123.8 122.5 123.1 75.1 69.3 67.9 37.5 34.5 49.1 64.6 88.2 94.9 953.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 11.7 12.7 10.7 11.7 12.8 10.9 8.9 9.2 10.4 12.1 11.4 134.7