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Forecast

Sugarloaf (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers easing 13° 22°
    showers easing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:24am EST 5:48am EST 5:48pm EST 6:12pm EST
    NOW
    14.2° Feels Like: 15.0°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 13.7°
    Wind: ESE 2km/h
    Gust: ESE 2km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Sugarloaf
    Now
    13.8°c
    Feels Like:
    15.0°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Showers easing
     
    13°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Sugarloaf
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    12°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 24.

    Forecast for Sugarloaf (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers easing Late shower Mostly cloudy Heavy showers Showers easing Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 13° 12° 14° 14° 12°
    Maximum 22° 27° 28° 24° 23° 21° 22°
    Chance of rain 90% 50% 50% 90% 50% 5% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E NE ENE NNE N WNW ESE WSW W W SSE WSW SSE
    Relative humidity 85% 72% 73% 54% 68% 50% 75% 79% 74% 41% 54% 46% 62% 56%
    Dew point 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 19°C 12°C 10°C 6°C 9°C 10°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 September to 1 October, 5 October to 9 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 October to 5 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    4
    5
    4
    6
    4
    7
    5
    9
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Sugarloaf Rain Forecast


    Sugarloaf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 September to 1 October, 5 October to 9 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 October to 5 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Sugarloaf Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Sep 14
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 15
    - 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 16
    6.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 17
    - 15.2 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Sep 18
    10.0 °C -
    61.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Sugarloaf minimum temp history (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.4° 08/09/2019 Coldest this month 5.0° 09/09/2019
    Hottest on record 34.9 30/09/1980 Coldest on record 0.8 12/09/1986
    Hottest this year 41.9° 27/01/2019 Coldest this year 2.0° 14/08/2019
    Long term average 21.6° Long term average 9.3°
    Average this month 23.3° Average this month 8.0°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.3° 1980 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 7.6° 1976
    Sugarloaf rainfall history (32.3871°S, 151.714°E, 69m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 61.0mm 18/09/2019 Total This Month 91.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.3mm 9.4 days Wettest September on record 130.6mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Sugarloaf Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 724.4mm 102.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 472.4mm 65.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 516.1mm 64.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 64.6mm Apr 1
    Lowest Temperature 2.0°C Aug14
    Highest Temperature 41.9°C Jan27
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Sugarloaf Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.4 28.5 26.6 23.6 20.0 17.0 16.5 18.4 21.6 24.5 26.5 28.8 23.5
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 15.4 12.6 10.0 7.7 6.5 6.9 9.3 11.8 13.9 16.0 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 128.9 126.2 124.4 77.6 69.6 69.3 40.3 37.8 50.3 65.5 93.1 97.6 983.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.5 11.8 12.7 10.8 11.9 12.5 11.3 9.1 9.4 10.5 12.4 11.5 132.3