Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Thursday 28 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Friday 29 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast and Sydney Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Illawarra Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 29 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Eden Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Spencer (33.4595°S, 151.1424°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW18° 23° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:46am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:02pm EDT 8:29pm EDT NOW19.3° Feels Like: 22.7° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 19.3° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 19.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
SpencerNow17.0°cFeels Like:16.8°Wind:SE 13km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:99%18°Min23°MaxToday in SpencerCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow18°Min23°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Spencer (33.4595°S, 151.1424°E, 11m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 18° 19° 19° 20° 18° 18° 19° Maximum 23° 29° 27° 27° 28° 27° 26° Chance of rain 80% 40% 50% 60% 70% 70% 80% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)17
(km/h)5
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)4
(km/h)10
(km/h)3
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction E E NE NE SW S S ESE NNE NNE SW E SSE ESE Relative humidity 95% 94% 95% 72% 95% 86% 88% 74% 85% 67% 83% 67% 84% 71% Dew point 19°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Spencer Rain Forecast
Spencer 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
LOW6
LOW7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
19
LOW20
21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Spencer Rain Forecast
Spencer 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987886956475105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Spencer Rain Forecast
Spencer 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
LOW6
LOW7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
19
LOW20
21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Spencer Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2418.5 °C 33.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2518.1 °C 30.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2619.8 °C 38.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2721.4 °C 22.0 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Jan 2818.9 °C 19.8 °C 23.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Spencer minimum temp history (33.4595°S, 151.1424°E, 11m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.3° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.6° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 43.6 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.6 18/01/2009 Hottest this year 37.3° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.6° 17/01/2021 Long term average 27.6° Long term average 17.0° Average this month 27.2° Average this month 15.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.3° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 2000 Spencer rainfall history (33.4595°S, 151.1424°E, 11m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 16.2mm 28/01/2021 Total This Month 57.8mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 107.6mm 13.5 days Wettest January on record 262.2mm 2016 Driest on record 20.2mm 2003 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Spencer Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 107.6mm 13.5 day(s) Total For 2021 57.8mm 14.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 39.4mm 10.0 day(s) Wettest Day 16.2mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 10.6°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Spencer Climatology
Spencer Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.6 26.7 24.8 22.0 18.8 15.9 15.6 17.4 20.6 22.9 24.6 26.3 21.9 Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.9 15.3 12.2 9.0 7.2 5.9 6.5 9.2 11.5 13.7 15.4 11.6 Mean Rain (mm) 107.6 145.5 134.9 75.9 75.8 111.5 49.2 63.5 68.0 79.6 93.7 99.3 1096.9 Mean Rain Days 13.5 14.0 14.6 13.5 12.8 13.7 10.9 8.4 9.3 11.3 12.8 13.4 147.2