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Forecast

South Bathurst (33.4401°S, 149.5786°E, 656m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 11° 36°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EDT 5:45am EDT 7:57pm EDT 8:25pm EDT
    NOW
    14.3° Feels Like: 13.2°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 12.3°
    Wind: E 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    South Bathurst
    Now
    12.1°c
    Feels Like:
    10.0°
    Wind:
    E 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    95%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    11°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in South Bathurst
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about the Blue Mountains in the evening. Very slight chance of a thunderstorm in the N. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h turning E/SE during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 41.

    Forecast for South Bathurst (33.4401°S, 149.5786°E, 656m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 13° 10° 10° 12°
    Maximum 36° 27° 26° 29° 30° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 40% 10% 10% 10% 70% 30% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNW SSW SW ENE NNW W WSW NNE NNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 73% 34% 56% 26% 76% 49% 66% 20% 60% 39% 71% 39% 64% 33%
    Dew point 15°C 17°C 8°C 5°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 3°C 13°C 13°C 10°C 7°C 7°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    South Bathurst Rain Forecast


    South Bathurst 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    South Bathurst Rain Forecast


    South Bathurst 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    6
    7
    5
    4
    5
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    South Bathurst Rain Forecast


    South Bathurst 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    South Bathurst Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    10.5 °C 29.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    14.5 °C 32.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    13.5 °C 35.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    18.0 °C 28.8 °C
    6.2 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    South Bathurst minimum temp history (33.4401°S, 149.5786°E, 656m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.9° 11/11/2020 Coldest this month 4.0° 03/11/2020
    Hottest on record 37.5 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 0.0 04/12/1987
    Hottest this year 41.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 23.4° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 25.0° Average this month 9.7°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 1990 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.1° 1986
    South Bathurst rainfall history (33.4401°S, 149.5786°E, 656m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.6mm 13/11/2020 Total This Month 38.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.2mm 8.5 days Wettest December on record 218.5mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1931
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    South Bathurst Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 569.9mm 95.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 744.7mm 111.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 430.0mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.8mm Mar26
    Lowest Temperature -4.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    South Bathurst Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.4 24.7 20.7 16.1 12.5 11.6 13.3 16.4 20.1 23.4 26.5 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.2 10.5 6.3 3.2 1.5 0.3 1.0 3.1 5.8 8.7 11.2 6.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 67.8 57.6 51.4 41.1 41.4 44.7 48.9 50.0 46.8 59.0 61.2 65.3 635.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 6.9 6.3 6.3 8.5 10.8 11.6 11.1 9.3 9.2 8.5 8.0 102.2