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Forecast

South Ballina (28.8829°S, 153.5631°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 21°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EST 6:38am EST 4:56pm EST 5:22pm EST
    NOW
    16.6° Feels Like: 9.9°
    Relative Humidity: 49%
    Dew: 5.9°
    Wind: W 30km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    South Ballina
    Now
    16.8°c
    Feels Like:
    10.0°
    Wind:
    W 30km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    47%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in South Ballina
    Sunny. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    10°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.

    Forecast for South Ballina (28.8829°S, 153.5631°E, 0m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Possible shower Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 11° 10° 10° 12°
    Maximum 21° 20° 19° 20° 20° 21° 24°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 70% 70% 30% 50% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W SW SSW SW SSW SSW S W SE NW NNE NNW N
    Relative humidity 53% 42% 71% 67% 77% 73% 79% 65% 83% 67% 83% 66% 81% 68%
    Dew point 7°C 7°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    South Ballina Rain Forecast


    South Ballina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 June to 1 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 7 July to 11 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July, and 15 July to 19 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 15 July to 19 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    South Ballina Rain Forecast


    South Ballina 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    6
    7
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    South Ballina Rain Forecast


    South Ballina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 June to 1 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 7 July to 11 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July, and 15 July to 19 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 15 July to 19 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    South Ballina Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 15
    7.3 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 16
    7.5 °C 22.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 17
    12.1 °C 23.2 °C
    2.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 18
    7.4 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 19
    11.3 °C 16.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    South Ballina minimum temp history (28.8829°S, 153.5631°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.2° 17/06/2021 Coldest this month 4.0° 12/06/2021
    Hottest on record 28.0 16/06/2002 Coldest on record -2.0 17/06/1999
    Hottest this year 32.1° 09/03/2021 Coldest this year 4.0° 12/06/2021
    Long term average 20.3° Long term average 10.2°
    Average this month 20.7° Average this month 8.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.4° 2008 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 8.1° 2000
    South Ballina rainfall history (28.8829°S, 153.5631°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.0mm 17/06/2021 Total This Month 5.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 205.7mm 14.0 days Wettest June on record 426.8mm 1999
    Driest on record 59.6mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    South Ballina Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 1144.1mm 91.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1181.6mm 89.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1305.6mm 87.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 123.8mm Mar22
    Lowest Temperature 4.0°C Jun12
    Highest Temperature 32.1°C Mar 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    South Ballina Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 28.1 27.1 25.0 22.5 20.3 20.1 21.4 23.6 24.9 26.3 27.6 24.6
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.7 18.5 15.3 12.1 10.2 8.7 8.8 11.5 14.1 16.5 18.4 14.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 161.5 206.5 220.8 190.0 155.4 205.7 110.8 91.1 64.3 98.8 122.7 145.6 1746.9
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 15.6 18.2 15.4 14.7 14.0 11.3 8.9 8.9 11.5 12.0 13.0 155.1