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Forecast

Skinners Shoot (28.6608°S, 153.5917°E, 4m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 17°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am EST 6:39am EST 5:01pm EST 5:27pm EST
    NOW
    11.1° Feels Like: 2.7°
    Relative Humidity: 48%
    Dew: 0.5°
    Wind: WSW 33km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Skinners Shoot
    Now
    7.8°c
    Feels Like:
    4.4°
    Wind:
    W 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Skinners Shoot
    Sunny. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.

    Forecast for Skinners Shoot (28.6608°S, 153.5917°E, 4m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 12° 12° 12° 13° 13°
    Maximum 17° 18° 18° 18° 18° 19° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 50% 50% 60% 90% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSW SW SSW SW SSW SW S S SSE SW SE WNW NE
    Relative humidity 52% 50% 69% 66% 79% 71% 82% 76% 79% 72% 81% 74% 78% 71%
    Dew point 3°C 7°C 8°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Skinners Shoot Rain Forecast


    Skinners Shoot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 3 August to 7 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Skinners Shoot Rain Forecast


    Skinners Shoot 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    10
    7
    6
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Skinners Shoot Rain Forecast


    Skinners Shoot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 July to 16 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 3 August to 7 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Skinners Shoot Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 30
    11.9 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 01
    13.2 °C 20.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    13.8 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 03
    16.3 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    11.6 °C 18.0 °C
    2.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Skinners Shoot minimum temp history (28.6608°S, 153.5917°E, 4m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.4° 03/07/2020 Coldest this month 11.6° 04/07/2020
    Hottest on record 27.1 23/07/2016 Coldest on record 7.1 19/07/2007
    Hottest this year 32.7° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.7° 24/06/2020
    Long term average 18.7° Long term average 12.1°
    Average this month 20.1° Average this month 13.7°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.8° 2016 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 10.9° 2007
    Skinners Shoot rainfall history (28.6608°S, 153.5917°E, 4m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.2mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 2.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 93.3mm 12.0 days Wettest July on record 168.2mm 2012
    Driest on record 13.4mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Skinners Shoot Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 1043.5mm 100.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1422.2mm 99.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 562.2mm 91.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 275.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 9.7°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 32.7°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Skinners Shoot Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.8 27.5 26.5 24.0 21.4 19.3 18.7 20.0 22.0 23.7 25.3 26.4 23.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 21.1 20.1 17.6 15.1 13.2 12.1 13.1 15.3 16.8 18.6 19.9 17.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 167.0 164.6 156.9 178.5 100.8 182.4 93.3 82.9 46.5 90.1 103.6 142.9 1518.4
    Mean Rain Days 15.3 14.7 16.9 14.6 13.3 13.9 12.0 8.5 9.2 12.2 11.4 13.7 142.4