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Forecast

Rylstone (32.7994°S, 149.9704°E, 569m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloudy 16° 25°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am EDT 6:45am EDT 7:45pm EDT 8:10pm EDT
    NOW
    20.0° Feels Like: 19.2°
    Relative Humidity: 70%
    Dew: 14.4°
    Wind: E 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1024.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rylstone
    Now
    12.8°c
    Feels Like:
    9.0°
    Wind:
    NNE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Cloudy
     
    16°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Rylstone
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    15°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 27.

    Forecast for Rylstone (32.7994°S, 149.9704°E, 569m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 15° 15° 18° 16° 14° 15°
    Maximum 25° 28° 32° 31° 27° 29° 29°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 30% 60% 10% 10% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ENE ESE ENE E NNE NW WNW E ENE SE WSW SE ESE
    Relative humidity 74% 55% 75% 40% 72% 35% 69% 45% 69% 48% 70% 30% 57% 36%
    Dew point 14°C 15°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 14°C 17°C 18°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 9°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rylstone Rain Forecast


    Rylstone 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rylstone Rain Forecast


    Rylstone 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    3
    6
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rylstone Rain Forecast


    Rylstone 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rylstone Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    16.2 °C 30.8 °C
    3.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    16.7 °C 25.5 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    11.1 °C 27.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    15.4 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    17.0 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rylstone minimum temp history (32.7994°S, 149.9704°E, 569m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 02/02/2020 Coldest this month 11.1° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 43.9 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 4.8 21/02/2017
    Hottest this year 42.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.1° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 29.4° Long term average 15.5°
    Average this month 28.4° Average this month 18.2°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.8° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 12.0° 1996
    Rylstone rainfall history (32.7994°S, 149.9704°E, 569m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 26.6mm 12/02/2020 Total This Month 64.2mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 70.0mm 7.2 days Wettest February on record 233.0mm 2003
    Driest on record 2.2mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rylstone Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 140.7mm 14.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 96.0mm 24.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 114.4mm 15.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.6mm Feb12
    Lowest Temperature 11.1°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 42.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rylstone Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 29.4 26.7 22.9 18.5 14.9 14.3 16.0 19.4 23.0 26.4 28.8 22.6
    Mean Min (°C) 15.8 15.5 12.6 7.7 4.1 2.6 1.4 1.6 4.3 7.5 11.1 13.7 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 70.7 70.0 59.2 37.7 39.9 47.2 49.0 37.4 60.7 53.7 78.7 84.9 689.5
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 7.2 6.9 5.0 6.5 10.3 10.3 7.7 7.7 8.1 9.3 8.9 90.4