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Forecast

Ryan (35.5635°S, 146.8661°E, 253m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:30am EDT 6:57am EDT 7:53pm EDT 8:19pm EDT
    NOW
    17.8° Feels Like: 14.0°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: WSW 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ryan
    Now
    18.3°c
    Feels Like:
    12.9°
    Wind:
    SSW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    48%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Ryan
    Mostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    13°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ryan

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Ryan (35.5635°S, 146.8661°E, 253m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 13° 15° 17° 16° 17° 19°
    Maximum 28° 31° 35° 34° 31° 31° 30°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% 80% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW E NW E NW WSW WSW SE SE E ENE E NE
    Relative humidity 58% 31% 63% 27% 55% 18% 49% 23% 53% 28% 57% 29% 68% 50%
    Dew point 8°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 7°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ryan Rain Forecast


    Ryan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ryan Rain Forecast


    Ryan 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    7
    6
    6
    8
    7
    6
    5
    1
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ryan Rain Forecast


    Ryan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ryan Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 24
    19.7 °C 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    19.1 °C 34.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    21.1 °C 26.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    8.3 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 28
    11 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ryan minimum temp history (35.5635°S, 146.8661°E, 253m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.8° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 8.3° 27/02/2020
    Hottest on record 44.8 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 6.8 03/02/1996
    Hottest this year 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.3° 27/02/2020
    Long term average 31.2° Long term average 16.3°
    Average this month 31.2° Average this month 17.5°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.7° 1997 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 12.4° 1996
    Ryan rainfall history (35.5635°S, 146.8661°E, 253m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.0mm 12/02/2020 Total This Month 24.2mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 49.0mm 5.2 days Wettest February on record 267.4mm 2011
    Driest on record 1.0mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Ryan Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 92.4mm 11.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 48.2mm 15.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 50.0mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 10.2mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Feb27
    Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ryan Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.2 31.2 27.8 22.5 17.6 14.0 13.2 15.0 18.0 21.8 26.1 29.4 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 16.5 16.3 12.9 8.4 5.5 3.8 3.2 3.6 5.7 8.0 11.7 13.9 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 43.4 49.0 40.8 44.1 52.6 67.9 70.9 68.9 63.2 51.6 64.3 42.5 659.1
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 5.2 5.0 5.9 9.4 13.7 16.1 14.0 10.8 7.9 8.0 6.5 104.0