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Forecast

Russell Vale (34.3581°S, 150.9008°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 18° 23°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EDT 6:38am EDT 7:41pm EDT 8:07pm EDT
    NOW
    22.7° Feels Like: 22.7°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 16.5°
    Wind: NNW 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Russell Vale
    Now
    22.0°c
    Feels Like:
    23.4°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Possible shower
     
    18°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Russell Vale
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    18°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about higher ground in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Russell Vale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Russell Vale (34.3581°S, 150.9008°E, 28m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Increasing sunshine Sunny Possible thunderstorm Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 18° 18° 20° 16° 17° 17°
    Maximum 23° 25° 26° 29° 20° 23° 21°
    Chance of rain 20% 10% 10% 30% 10% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE ENE N NE N NE NNW NW S SE NW E S SSE
    Relative humidity 77% 70% 72% 68% 78% 70% 70% 55% 64% 62% 74% 64% 80% 77%
    Dew point 16°C 18°C 16°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 19°C 10°C 13°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Russell Vale Rain Forecast


    Russell Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Russell Vale Rain Forecast


    Russell Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    4
    7
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    4
    6
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Russell Vale Rain Forecast


    Russell Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Russell Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    19.8 °C 26.7 °C
    8.6 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    16.2 °C 22.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    17.9 °C 23.4 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    16.9 °C 23 °C
    3.8 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    19 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Russell Vale minimum temp history (34.3581°S, 150.9008°E, 28m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.8° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 15.5° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 39.5 05/02/2011 Coldest on record 13.1 29/02/2008
    Hottest this year 39.6° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.5° 04/02/2020
    Long term average 24.8° Long term average 19.2°
    Average this month 24.2° Average this month 19.3°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.5° 1998 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.7° 2008
    Russell Vale rainfall history (34.3581°S, 150.9008°E, 28m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 137.4mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 399.6mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 140.0mm 13.3 days Wettest February on record 355.2mm 2008
    Driest on record 18.4mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Russell Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 223.2mm 25.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 463.6mm 26.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 151.8mm 23.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 137.4mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 15.5°C Feb 4
    Highest Temperature 39.6°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Russell Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.9 24.8 24.0 22.1 19.8 17.7 16.9 18.0 20.1 21.7 22.3 24.0 21.3
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 19.2 18.2 15.6 13.1 11.2 10.1 10.6 12.5 14.0 15.8 17.5 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 83.2 140.0 133.0 118.7 85.6 129.7 81.3 98.3 57.3 75.9 102.8 76.5 1178.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 13.3 13.8 11.1 8.9 10.2 9.1 8.3 9.2 10.9 12.9 11.9 125.6