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Forecast

Rushes Creek (30.803°S, 150.6029°E, 353m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 17° 25°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:45am EDT 7:09am EDT 6:50pm EDT 7:14pm EDT
    NOW
    20.0° Feels Like: 19.5°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 19.5°
    Wind: N 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rushes Creek
    Now
    21.3°c
    Feels Like:
    20.2°
    Wind:
    N 20km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    83%
    Showers
     
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Rushes Creek
    Cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. High chance of rain in the south, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW in the morning then tending W/SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rushes Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. High chance of rain in the south, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 29.

    Forecast for Rushes Creek (30.803°S, 150.6029°E, 353m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Possible thunderstorm Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 17° 10° 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 25° 25° 21° 21° 23° 23° 24°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 0
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW NNW WNW WSW W S WSW SE S ESE SSW SE S
    Relative humidity 100% 99% 95% 66% 64% 49% 65% 49% 70% 51% 71% 50% 71% 48%
    Dew point 19°C 20°C 20°C 17°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 9°C 13°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 13°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rushes Creek Rain Forecast


    Rushes Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rushes Creek Rain Forecast


    Rushes Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    10
    6
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rushes Creek Rain Forecast


    Rushes Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rushes Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Mar 30
    13.9 °C 20.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    12.9 °C 26.4 °C
    16.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    13.3 °C 28.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    14.1 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    14.8 °C 22 °C
    6.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rushes Creek minimum temp history (30.803°S, 150.6029°E, 353m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.6° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 13.3° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 33.3 07/04/2016 Coldest on record -0.2 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.8° 19/03/2020
    Long term average 25.4° Long term average 10.0°
    Average this month 27.5° Average this month 14.1°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.6° 1996
    Rushes Creek rainfall history (30.803°S, 150.6029°E, 353m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.0mm 03/04/2020 Total This Month 6.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 27.0mm 4.1 days Wettest April on record 123.0mm 1999
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rushes Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 221.5mm 24.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 389.2mm 38.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 120.2mm 22.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 55.6mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 8.8°C Mar19
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rushes Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.7 31.6 29.2 25.4 20.8 16.9 16.2 18.3 21.8 25.4 28.5 30.5 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.4 16.9 14.4 10.0 5.9 3.8 2.3 2.8 5.9 9.5 13.4 15.6 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.2 75.2 53.1 27.0 31.2 57.7 45.6 42.1 48.1 55.1 86.3 84.9 671.5
    Mean Rain Days 6.7 7.1 6.8 4.1 4.8 8.8 8.6 6.3 7.0 8.0 8.5 8.8 83.2