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Forecast

Rous Mill (28.8763°S, 153.3896°E, 134m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 23° 34°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am EDT 6:30am EDT 7:29pm EDT 7:54pm EDT
    NOW
    23.4° Feels Like: 28.3°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 22.4°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rous Mill
    Now
    26.0°c
    Feels Like:
    29.0°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Late shower
     
    23°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Rous Mill
    Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    23°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rous Mill

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely this afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Rous Mill (28.8763°S, 153.3896°E, 134m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Showers easing Thunderstorms Possible shower Possible shower Showers
    Minimum 23° 23° 21° 21° 21° 21° 20°
    Maximum 34° 29° 27° 27° 27° 26° 27°
    Chance of rain 50% 80% 80% 60% 70% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW N SW SSE SSE ESE SE SE ESE ESE SE ESE S ESE
    Relative humidity 79% 57% 75% 59% 81% 68% 79% 70% 77% 70% 83% 76% 83% 74%
    Dew point 23°C 24°C 21°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rous Mill Rain Forecast


    Rous Mill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rous Mill Rain Forecast


    Rous Mill 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    7
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rous Mill Rain Forecast


    Rous Mill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rous Mill Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Feb 14
    21.8 °C 29.1 °C
    33.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    21.6 °C 33.4 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    22.6 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    22.8 °C 31.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    20.0 °C 32 °C
    4.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rous Mill minimum temp history (28.8763°S, 153.3896°E, 134m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.1° 03/02/2020 Coldest this month 17.8° 01/02/2020
    Hottest on record 42.8 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 13.0 08/02/2014
    Hottest this year 38.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.8° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 29.5° Long term average 18.6°
    Average this month 28.8° Average this month 20.8°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.8° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.1° 2007
    Rous Mill rainfall history (28.8763°S, 153.3896°E, 134m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 112.8mm 07/02/2020 Total This Month 332.4mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 139.2mm 14.3 days Wettest February on record 306.4mm 2013
    Driest on record 20.2mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rous Mill Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 299.2mm 29.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 577.8mm 22.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 30.6mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 128.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 13.8°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 38.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rous Mill Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.5 28.1 25.9 23.4 20.7 20.7 22.5 25.6 27.3 28.7 29.4 26.0
    Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.6 17.1 14.1 9.8 8.1 6.2 6.7 9.8 12.5 15.5 17.3 12.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 160.0 139.2 182.3 123.5 76.5 99.2 37.0 69.5 41.0 75.7 108.1 121.9 1238.1
    Mean Rain Days 15.0 14.3 17.9 17.1 15.5 14.9 11.9 10.2 9.2 10.8 12.3 13.8 154.6