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Forecast

Roto (33.0585°S, 145.343°E, 113m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 10° 27°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am EDT 6:07am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:25pm EDT
    NOW
    26.6° Feels Like: 22.1°
    Relative Humidity: 21%
    Dew: 2.5°
    Wind: W 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Roto
    Now
    24.8°c
    Feels Like:
    17.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    29%
    Mostly sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Roto
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Roto

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Roto (33.0585°S, 145.343°E, 113m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Cloud increasing Windy
    Minimum 10° 10° 14° 15° 22°
    Maximum 27° 25° 26° 30° 38° 39° 42°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW W SSW SW SSW SW SSE W N W ESE SW NE NNW
    Relative humidity 49% 24% 52% 24% 37% 20% 34% 18% 23% 11% 29% 13% 28% 12%
    Dew point 5°C 4°C 5°C 2°C 2°C 1°C 1°C 2°C 2°C 2°C 6°C 5°C 10°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Roto Rain Forecast


    Roto 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Roto Rain Forecast


    Roto 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    7
    5
    7
    7
    5
    6
    7
    8
    7
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Roto Rain Forecast


    Roto 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Roto Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    10.5 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    9.8 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    17.6 °C 25.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    10.0 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Roto minimum temp history (33.0585°S, 145.343°E, 113m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.0° 02/11/2019 Coldest this month 6.5° 09/11/2019
    Hottest on record 43.5 20/11/2009 Coldest on record 2.4 14/11/1968
    Hottest this year 47.0° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.0° 23/06/2019
    Long term average 28.7° Long term average 13.8°
    Average this month 25.7° Average this month 12.5°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.0° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 11.2° 1974
    Roto rainfall history (33.0585°S, 145.343°E, 113m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.6mm 03/11/2019 Total This Month 22.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.0mm 4.1 days Wettest November on record 148.9mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Roto Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 342.7mm 57.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 193.3mm 53.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 137.7mm 44.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm Apr22
    Lowest Temperature -3.0°C Jun23
    Highest Temperature 47.0°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Roto Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.5 32.9 29.5 24.6 19.6 16.1 15.2 17.3 20.8 25.0 28.7 31.5 24.5
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.4 15.2 10.7 7.3 4.7 3.7 4.8 7.1 10.4 13.8 16.3 10.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.8 27.7 33.3 27.4 32.5 34.7 31.2 31.4 28.9 35.8 29.0 30.3 372.8
    Mean Rain Days 3.6 3.4 3.8 4.1 5.4 7.2 7.5 7.2 5.8 5.7 4.1 4.0 59.6