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Forecast

Rose Valley (34.7238°S, 150.8149°E, 15m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17° 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EDT 6:43am EDT 7:36pm EDT 8:02pm EDT
    NOW
    21.7° Feels Like: 18.5°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 13.6°
    Wind: SSE 22km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Rose Valley
    Now
    24.1°c
    Feels Like:
    22.6°
    Wind:
    SE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    47%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Rose Valley
    Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    18°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rose Valley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Rose Valley (34.7238°S, 150.8149°E, 15m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 18° 18° 19° 19° 19° 20°
    Maximum 23° 23° 26° 25° 23° 23° 25°
    Chance of rain 30% 10% 5% 30% 70% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSE NNW ENE N NE WNW S SW SSE S ESE ENE E
    Relative humidity 60% 65% 76% 67% 79% 66% 62% 61% 76% 76% 83% 78% 83% 82%
    Dew point 14°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rose Valley Rain Forecast


    Rose Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rose Valley Rain Forecast


    Rose Valley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    4
    7
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    4
    6
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rose Valley Rain Forecast


    Rose Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rose Valley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 24
    18.7 °C 26.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    19.4 °C 28.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    21.2 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    17.8 °C 24 °C
    3.2 mm
    Friday
    Feb 28
    17 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rose Valley minimum temp history (34.7238°S, 150.8149°E, 15m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.5° 26/02/2020 Coldest this month 16.2° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 39.3 05/02/2011 Coldest on record 13.4 03/02/2005
    Hottest this year 41.4° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 16.2° 04/02/2020
    Long term average 24.5° Long term average 18.8°
    Average this month 25.3° Average this month 19.5°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.9° 2011 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.7° 2005
    Rose Valley rainfall history (34.7238°S, 150.8149°E, 15m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 110.0mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 213.4mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 158.6mm 13.9 days Wettest February on record 304.6mm 2008
    Driest on record 25.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rose Valley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 245.9mm 25.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 258.2mm 33.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 130.0mm 20.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 110.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 16.2°C Feb 4
    Highest Temperature 41.4°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rose Valley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.1 24.5 23.8 22.0 19.8 17.7 17.0 18.0 20.2 21.6 22.7 23.6 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 18.9 18.8 17.8 15.5 13.1 11.4 10.0 10.6 12.2 13.8 15.9 17.2 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.3 158.6 147.7 104.1 45.5 116.2 74.7 77.0 58.6 81.8 70.0 89.1 1120.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 13.9 13.8 12.6 6.3 11.4 9.8 8.0 9.7 11.6 10.9 12.2 99.0