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Forecast

Rocky Creek (29.2802°S, 151.3477°E, 593m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 10° 24°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:24am EST 5:48am EST 5:50pm EST 6:14pm EST
    NOW
    13.6° Feels Like: 10.1°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 9.1°
    Wind: E 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1025.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rocky Creek
    Now
    9.9°c
    Feels Like:
    5.7°
    Wind:
    E 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Mostly sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Rocky Creek
    Becoming cloudy. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming NE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    11°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers on the southern slopes, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rocky Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming NE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Rocky Creek (29.2802°S, 151.3477°E, 593m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 11° 13° 15°
    Maximum 24° 23° 26° 21° 22° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 50% 50% 90% 80% 10% 5% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE NE N NNE N N NW W W SW WSW NW NW
    Relative humidity 56% 38% 64% 57% 69% 48% 90% 82% 58% 40% 52% 37% 45% 34%
    Dew point 10°C 9°C 11°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 18°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 3°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rocky Creek Rain Forecast


    Rocky Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rocky Creek Rain Forecast


    Rocky Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    8
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    1
    6
    8
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rocky Creek Rain Forecast


    Rocky Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rocky Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 14
    3.3 °C 26.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 15
    7.6 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    13.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    - 27.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    9.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rocky Creek minimum temp history (29.2802°S, 151.3477°E, 593m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.4° 09/09/2020 Coldest this month 1.9° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 34.4 26/09/2013 Coldest on record -5.5 15/09/1989
    Hottest this year 40.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.8° 06/07/2020
    Long term average 22.4° Long term average 6.3°
    Average this month 24.5° Average this month 7.9°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.6° 2000 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 2.2° 1989
    Rocky Creek rainfall history (29.2802°S, 151.3477°E, 593m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.0mm 10/09/2020 Total This Month 4.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.4mm 6.6 days Wettest September on record 146.0mm 1996
    Driest on record 0.4mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rocky Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 506.7mm 61.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 375.3mm 57.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 184.3mm 25.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.5mm Apr 6
    Lowest Temperature -2.8°C Jul 6
    Highest Temperature 40.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rocky Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.7 29.1 25.5 21.7 18.1 17.3 19.0 22.4 25.6 27.9 30.3 24.9
    Mean Min (°C) 17.6 17.2 14.8 10.7 6.7 3.2 2.1 2.9 6.3 10.2 13.6 16.1 10.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 96.4 81.3 68.2 45.4 42.9 40.1 43.8 38.2 50.4 67.4 89.4 93.2 756.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.3 7.8 6.6 5.1 6.1 6.4 7.3 6.3 6.6 8.0 9.3 9.7 86.2