Forecast
Rock Flat (36.3484°S, 149.2118°E, 872m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 19° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:46am EDT 6:15am EDT 8:18pm EDT 8:47pm EDT NOW12.2° Feels Like: 9.6° Relative Humidity: 99% Dew: 12.0° Wind: S 17km/h Gust: 18km/h Rainfall since 9am: 7.6mm Pressure: 1015.0hPa -
Today Weather
Rock FlatNow10.9°cFeels Like:9.6°Wind:S 7km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:97%11°Min19°MaxToday in Rock FlatCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.Tomorrow10°Min17°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Rock Flat
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
Forecast for Rock Flat (36.3484°S, 149.2118°E, 872m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 11° 10° 10° 13° 13° 12° 14° Maximum 19° 17° 20° 27° 26° 28° 27° Chance of rain 80% 60% 60% 60% 50% 70% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SE E E ENE NE N WNW SE ESE NNE N WNW SW Relative humidity 91% 66% 87% 71% 89% 77% 82% 56% 86% 55% 79% 43% 79% 49% Dew point 12°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 13°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 16°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Rock Flat Rain Forecast
Rock Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGH31
HIGHFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
10
11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Rock Flat Rain Forecast
Rock Flat 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987777844355105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Rock Flat Rain Forecast
Rock Flat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGH31
HIGHFeb 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
10
11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Rock Flat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 229.0 °C 31.8 °C -Saturday
Jan 237.9 °C 34.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2410.1 °C 36.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2511.2 °C 35.8 °C -Tuesday
Jan 2620.0 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Rock Flat minimum temp history (36.3484°S, 149.2118°E, 872m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.0° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 3.6° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 39.0 31/01/2009 Coldest on record -0.2 13/01/1975 Hottest this year 36.0° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 3.6° 17/01/2021 Long term average 27.6° Long term average 10.9° Average this month 27.0° Average this month 9.3° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.4° 1988 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 7.7° 1975 Rock Flat rainfall history (36.3484°S, 149.2118°E, 872m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.0mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 8.0mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 56.9mm 8.3 days Wettest January on record 156.2mm 1992 Driest on record 1.3mm 2003 -
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Year to Date
Rock Flat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 56.9mm 8.3 day(s) Total For 2021 8.0mm 4.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 19.9mm 7.0 day(s) Wettest Day 5.0mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 3.6°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Rock Flat Climatology
Rock Flat Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.6 26.4 23.8 19.5 15.5 12.0 11.5 13.3 16.3 19.6 22.6 25.2 19.4 Mean Min (°C) 10.9 10.7 8.2 4.1 0.8 -1.3 -2.7 -1.8 1.2 3.9 6.9 9.0 4.1 Mean Rain (mm) 56.9 60.5 59.3 38.7 29.3 39.0 27.0 26.9 34.7 43.8 62.3 55.4 532.7 Mean Rain Days 8.3 8.0 8.7 8.3 8.4 10.4 8.9 8.7 9.8 9.5 10.9 9.0 108.8