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Forecast

Rivertree (28.6277°S, 152.2943°E, 214m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers increasing 16° 28°
    showers increasing
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EDT 6:41am EDT 7:25pm EDT 7:49pm EDT
    NOW
    21.8° Feels Like: 26.4°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 21.8°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1010.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rivertree
    Now
    24.7°c
    Feels Like:
    28.0°
    Wind:
    WNW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Showers increasing
     
    16°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Rivertree
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on and east of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower on and east of the ranges, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rivertree

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on and east of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.

    Forecast for Rivertree (28.6277°S, 152.2943°E, 214m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers increasing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Showers increasing Rain
    Minimum 16° 16° 15° 16° 17° 16° 16°
    Maximum 28° 25° 27° 29° 27° 25° 24°
    Chance of rain 60% 20% 10% 30% 40% 70% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SE SSE SE S SE WNW SE S SE SSE SE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 89% 58% 86% 62% 80% 53% 77% 43% 86% 65% 90% 76% 88% 80%
    Dew point 19°C 19°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rivertree Rain Forecast


    Rivertree 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rivertree Rain Forecast


    Rivertree 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    6
    7
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rivertree Rain Forecast


    Rivertree 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 27 March to 31 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rivertree Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    16.2 °C 19.3 °C
    8.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    16.3 °C 22.6 °C
    9.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    16.8 °C 22.4 °C
    6.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    17.6 °C 28.6 °C
    9.8 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    18.1 °C -
    26.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rivertree minimum temp history (28.6277°S, 152.2943°E, 214m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.7° 19/02/2020 Coldest this month 12.2° 09/02/2020
    Hottest on record 39.7 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 10.4 14/02/1996
    Hottest this year 38.6° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.2° 09/02/2020
    Long term average 26.0° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 25.6° Average this month 18.2°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.9° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 14.7° 1972
    Rivertree rainfall history (28.6277°S, 152.2943°E, 214m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 66.2mm 09/02/2020 Total This Month 316.4mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 182.5mm 15.9 days Wettest February on record 461.2mm 1976
    Driest on record 39.4mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rivertree Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 368.3mm 31.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 482.4mm 27.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 36.4mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 66.2mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 12.2°C Feb 9
    Highest Temperature 38.6°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rivertree Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 26.0 24.6 22.2 19.1 16.5 16.3 18.2 21.5 23.9 25.4 26.9 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.8 13.5 10.9 8.2 7.2 8.0 10.5 12.5 14.4 16.1 12.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 185.8 182.5 158.0 97.7 97.2 60.0 44.1 40.4 39.7 85.3 119.0 150.2 1262.0
    Mean Rain Days 16.0 15.9 16.4 12.4 11.3 9.4 8.1 6.7 7.4 9.9 12.4 14.3 137.0