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Forecast

Reedy Creek (32.7294°S, 149.9931°E, 708m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 10° 17°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am EST 5:52am EST 5:54pm EST 6:18pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 8.3°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 10.3°
    Wind: E 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Reedy Creek
    Now
    14.3°c
    Feels Like:
    13.0°
    Wind:
    SE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Reedy Creek
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h turning N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Reedy Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 24.

    Forecast for Reedy Creek (32.7294°S, 149.9931°E, 708m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly cloudy Possible shower Thunderstorms Clearing shower Mostly sunny Showers increasing Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 12° 12°
    Maximum 17° 14° 19° 17° 13° 11° 12°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 30% 10% 50% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE NNE N N NNW WNW WNW W W W W NW NW
    Relative humidity 89% 59% 96% 93% 87% 82% 76% 46% 58% 51% 68% 53% 63% 64%
    Dew point 10°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 10°C 4°C 3°C 3°C 2°C 1°C 2°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Reedy Creek Rain Forecast


    Reedy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Reedy Creek Rain Forecast


    Reedy Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    3
    6
    1
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Reedy Creek Rain Forecast


    Reedy Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Reedy Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 14
    8.4 °C 17.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 15
    7.7 °C 16.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    8.8 °C 17.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    12.2 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    7.2 °C 13.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Reedy Creek minimum temp history (32.7294°S, 149.9931°E, 708m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.3° 17/09/2020 Coldest this month 3.4° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 24.3 22/09/2003 Coldest on record -7.4 28/09/1996
    Hottest this year 37.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 05/08/2020
    Long term average 14.1° Long term average 5.4°
    Average this month 15.1° Average this month 7.1°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.4° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.5° 1992
    Reedy Creek rainfall history (32.7294°S, 149.9931°E, 708m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 18.6mm 10/09/2020 Total This Month 26.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 76.4mm 10.4 days Wettest September on record 247.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 9.6mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Reedy Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 715.6mm 113.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 882.4mm 127.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 505.8mm 104.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 70.4mm Jul27
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Aug 5
    Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Reedy Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.1 22.9 20.2 16.8 12.9 9.7 9.0 10.8 14.1 17.4 19.9 22.4 16.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 13.3 11.4 8.5 5.8 3.5 2.4 3.0 5.4 7.7 10.0 11.8 8.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.6 103.2 96.7 61.3 59.6 87.0 68.0 58.8 76.4 73.9 106.3 95.3 990.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 11.9 13.3 11.8 12.4 16.0 15.5 10.9 10.4 9.4 12.4 10.8 139.8