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Forecast

Red Head (32.0586°S, 152.5315°E, 30m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 19° 25°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EDT 6:34am EDT 7:33pm EDT 7:58pm EDT
    NOW
    21.2° Feels Like: 23.1°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 18.6°
    Wind: W 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.8mm
    Pressure: 1024.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Red Head
    Now
    20.8°c
    Feels Like:
    21.7°
    Wind:
    WSW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Mostly sunny
     
    19°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Red Head
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    18°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 26.

    Forecast for Red Head (32.0586°S, 152.5315°E, 30m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 19° 18° 18° 19° 19° 18° 17°
    Maximum 25° 25° 27° 30° 23° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 50% 70% 60% 60% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E NNW ENE N ENE N ENE SSW S SSW ESE S SE
    Relative humidity 65% 61% 80% 71% 79% 73% 78% 69% 80% 70% 77% 70% 77% 68%
    Dew point 15°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 22°C 20°C 23°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Red Head Rain Forecast


    Red Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Red Head Rain Forecast


    Red Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Red Head Rain Forecast


    Red Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Red Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 17
    - -
    1.5 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    - -
    -
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Feb 21
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Red Head minimum temp history (32.0586°S, 152.5315°E, 30m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 38.0 21/02/2004 Coldest on record 13.2 11/02/2014
    Hottest this year 35.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.0° 27/01/2020
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 19.5°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 17.6° 2008
    Red Head rainfall history (32.0586°S, 152.5315°E, 30m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.5mm 17/02/2020 Total This Month 1.5mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 111.5mm 8.4 days Wettest February on record 826.4mm 1929
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1898
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Red Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 215.7mm 16.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 73.4mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 124.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.9mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C Jan27
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Red Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.4 25.6 23.8 21.2 18.9 18.2 19.4 21.6 22.8 23.8 25.5 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.5 19.5 17.9 15.2 12.0 9.9 8.8 9.2 11.8 13.8 16.4 18.0 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.2 111.5 137.3 118.1 110.8 112.7 84.5 68.3 65.5 72.5 82.4 89.4 1156.8
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 8.4 9.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.8 8.3 7.6 95.8