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Forecast

Rawdon Island (31.4196°S, 152.7791°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 22° 32°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:05am EDT 6:30am EDT 7:35pm EDT 8:00pm EDT
    NOW
    26.8° Feels Like: 28.0°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 20.2°
    Wind: NNE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1003.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rawdon Island
    Now
    28.0°c
    Feels Like:
    30.3°
    Wind:
    NW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    22°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Rawdon Island
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. The slight chance of some dust haze mainly in the south during the morning and early afternoon. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    19°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. The slight chance of some dust haze mainly in the south during the morning and early afternoon. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Rawdon Island (31.4196°S, 152.7791°E, 8m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 22° 19° 19° 20° 19° 18° 18°
    Maximum 32° 26° 27° 27° 27° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 70% 70% 50% 60% 30%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N SSE SW S SSW ESE SE ESE E E ENE ESE N ENE
    Relative humidity 81% 74% 62% 54% 73% 63% 80% 68% 76% 61% 75% 60% 76% 60%
    Dew point 23°C 24°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rawdon Island Rain Forecast


    Rawdon Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rawdon Island Rain Forecast


    Rawdon Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rawdon Island Rain Forecast


    Rawdon Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rawdon Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    16.0 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    21.0 °C 26.7 °C
    1.4 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    22.2 °C 26.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    18.5 °C 32 °C
    2.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    22 °C -
    2.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rawdon Island minimum temp history (31.4196°S, 152.7791°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.2° 02/02/2020 Coldest this month 16.0° 15/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.6 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 10.6 10/02/1996
    Hottest this year 36.2° 02/02/2020 Coldest this year 16.0° 15/02/2020
    Long term average 27.6° Long term average 18.4°
    Average this month 28.2° Average this month 20.3°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 16.4° 2000
    Rawdon Island rainfall history (31.4196°S, 152.7791°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 142.2mm 09/02/2020 Total This Month 381.0mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 187.6mm 13.4 days Wettest February on record 581.2mm 2009
    Driest on record 60.2mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rawdon Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 346.9mm 25.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 470.0mm 26.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 27.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 142.2mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 16.0°C Feb15
    Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rawdon Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.7 27.6 26.4 24.3 21.6 19.5 18.8 20.2 22.6 24.1 25.2 26.7 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.4 17.0 13.9 10.4 8.2 6.6 6.8 9.4 11.9 15.2 16.9 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 159.3 187.6 177.0 141.5 115.6 139.3 67.2 71.1 64.7 74.6 157.2 110.1 1468.6
    Mean Rain Days 12.2 13.4 15.3 13.5 13.0 11.4 10.5 8.5 9.3 10.2 13.9 12.5 137.0