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Forecast

Ravensdale (33.1475°S, 151.2886°E, 274m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 18° 24°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EDT 6:38am EDT 7:39pm EDT 8:05pm EDT
    NOW
    20.2° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 15.6°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Ravensdale
    Now
    23.6°c
    Feels Like:
    25.5°
    Wind:
    ENE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Ravensdale
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the coast, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    18°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the coast, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Ravensdale (33.1475°S, 151.2886°E, 274m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 18° 18° 20° 17° 16° 18°
    Maximum 24° 26° 28° 33° 21° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 20% 70% 20% 60% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE NE E N ENE NNW NW SSW SSE W E S SE
    Relative humidity 80% 62% 80% 57% 83% 54% 70% 48% 71% 64% 78% 57% 77% 61%
    Dew point 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 20°C 13°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ravensdale Rain Forecast


    Ravensdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ravensdale Rain Forecast


    Ravensdale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    6
    8
    5
    6
    4
    8
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ravensdale Rain Forecast


    Ravensdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ravensdale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 17
    18.6 °C 24.6 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    17.8 °C 32.5 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Feb 21
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ravensdale minimum temp history (33.1475°S, 151.2886°E, 274m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 12.7° 05/02/2020
    Hottest on record 44.4 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 10.6 03/02/2005
    Hottest this year 43.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this year 12.7° 05/02/2020
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 27.6° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2004 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 2008
    Ravensdale rainfall history (33.1475°S, 151.2886°E, 274m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 126.4mm 08/02/2020 Total This Month 217.4mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 146.9mm 13.8 days Wettest February on record 371.0mm 2013
    Driest on record 5.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Ravensdale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 265.4mm 27.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 256.8mm 15.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 183.2mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 126.4mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 43.7°C Feb 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ravensdale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.6 24.8 21.8 18.7 15.9 15.4 17.4 20.5 22.9 24.5 26.2 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 15.2 12.1 9.1 7.3 6.0 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.8 15.4 11.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.5 146.9 144.6 91.0 86.9 117.1 47.2 64.0 68.8 72.8 101.4 97.0 1155.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.9 13.8 14.3 13.3 13.2 13.5 11.3 8.8 9.5 10.7 13.4 11.8 140.8