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Forecast

Rathluba Lagoon (32.7858°S, 151.583°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 18° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EDT 6:42am EDT 7:30pm EDT 7:55pm EDT
    NOW
    20.5° Feels Like: 20.9°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 15.5°
    Wind: SE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rathluba Lagoon
    Now
    20.5°c
    Feels Like:
    20.9°
    Wind:
    SE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Rathluba Lagoon
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    18°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rathluba Lagoon

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Rathluba Lagoon (32.7858°S, 151.583°E, 21m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 17° 19° 21° 20° 20° 21°
    Maximum 28° 33° 35° 29° 28° 30° 31°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 30% 80% 60% 70% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S ESE NNE NNE NW WNW S SSE ESE E ENE E ENE E
    Relative humidity 77% 57% 84% 49% 71% 35% 83% 70% 88% 67% 87% 64% 91% 71%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 18°C 21°C 18°C 18°C 20°C 23°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 23°C 22°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rathluba Lagoon Rain Forecast


    Rathluba Lagoon 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 March to 10 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 9 March to 13 March, and 16 March to 20 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rathluba Lagoon Rain Forecast


    Rathluba Lagoon 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    6
    8
    5
    6
    4
    8
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rathluba Lagoon Rain Forecast


    Rathluba Lagoon 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 March to 10 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 9 March to 13 March, and 16 March to 20 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rathluba Lagoon Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 24
    18.8 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    17.9 °C 30.2 °C
    8.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    18.6 °C 32.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    19.3 °C 26.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Feb 28
    16.3 °C 28 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rathluba Lagoon minimum temp history (32.7858°S, 151.583°E, 21m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.0° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 15.2° 05/02/2020
    Hottest on record 43.5 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 12.3 04/02/2005
    Hottest this year 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.2° 05/02/2020
    Long term average 28.3° Long term average 19.4°
    Average this month 28.6° Average this month 19.9°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.0° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 18.1° 2012
    Rathluba Lagoon rainfall history (32.7858°S, 151.583°E, 21m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 75.0mm 09/02/2020 Total This Month 219.6mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 137.0mm 12.2 days Wettest February on record 297.2mm 2002
    Driest on record 13.4mm 2010
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Rathluba Lagoon Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 226.6mm 22.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 259.2mm 19.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 22.0mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.0mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 15.2°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 44.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rathluba Lagoon Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 28.3 26.7 23.9 21.1 18.4 17.8 19.7 22.6 24.8 26.0 27.8 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 19.4 19.4 17.4 13.9 10.5 8.7 7.5 8.0 10.8 13.3 15.9 17.8 13.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.6 137.0 123.2 135.5 90.3 123.7 60.1 59.2 69.1 58.4 113.5 68.6 1128.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.6 12.2 11.8 11.3 11.2 12.6 11.2 9.2 8.3 8.8 11.8 10.4 117.7