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Forecast

Pyes Creek (29.25°S, 151.8333°E, 685m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 18° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EDT 6:12am EDT 7:54pm EDT 8:20pm EDT
    NOW
    28.0° Feels Like: 18.7°
    Relative Humidity: 30%
    Dew: 8.8°
    Wind: WNW 46km/h
    Gust: 56km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Pyes Creek
    Now
    29.2°c
    Feels Like:
    28.3°
    Wind:
    WNW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    42%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Pyes Creek
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower near the Queensland border this afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during this afternoon. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    18°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Hot. Sunny morning. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pyes Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower near the Queensland border this afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during this afternoon. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 36.

    Forecast for Pyes Creek (29.25°S, 151.8333°E, 685m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Late shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Showers increasing
    Minimum 18° 18° 20° 20° 20° 19° 18°
    Maximum 32° 32° 31° 29° 27° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 20% 60% 50% 80% 80% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW W NW NNW NNW NNW NW WNW NW NE N NNE NNW NE
    Relative humidity 76% 36% 71% 45% 78% 55% 83% 69% 84% 75% 88% 76% 81% 71%
    Dew point 20°C 16°C 20°C 19°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 19°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pyes Creek Rain Forecast


    Pyes Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pyes Creek Rain Forecast


    Pyes Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    5
    6
    5
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pyes Creek Rain Forecast


    Pyes Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pyes Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17
    15.5 °C 22.0 °C
    14.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    17.0 °C 23.0 °C
    33.6 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    17.1 °C 26.6 °C
    0.6 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.9 °C 29 °C
    8.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    18 °C -
    2.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pyes Creek minimum temp history (29.25°S, 151.8333°E, 685m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.1° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 13.8° 08/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.3 08/01/1994 Coldest on record 4.5 12/01/1965
    Hottest this year 36.1° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.8° 08/01/2020
    Long term average 26.7° Long term average 14.6°
    Average this month 29.0° Average this month 16.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 1994 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.3° 1965
    Pyes Creek rainfall history (29.25°S, 151.8333°E, 685m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 33.6mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 91.8mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 114.9mm 10.4 days Wettest January on record 361.2mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Pyes Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 114.9mm 10.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 91.8mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 56.0mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 33.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 13.8°C Jan 8
    Highest Temperature 36.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pyes Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.7 25.9 24.5 21.9 18.3 15.4 14.8 16.4 19.6 22.4 24.4 26.1 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 14.5 12.6 8.6 5.1 2.4 0.8 1.6 4.5 7.8 10.7 12.9 8.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 114.9 93.8 80.9 47.2 48.7 49.9 53.5 43.7 50.3 75.7 85.2 105.1 848.0
    Mean Rain Days 10.4 9.8 9.8 7.1 7.5 7.7 7.3 6.5 6.4 8.0 8.7 9.8 97.7