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Forecast

Punchbowl (33.9257°S, 151.0546°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 20° 30°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:03pm EDT 8:30pm EDT
    NOW
    18.7° Feels Like: 21.8°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 18.7°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Punchbowl
    Now
    18.8°c
    Feels Like:
    21.4°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    20°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Punchbowl
    Cloud clearing. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    22°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Hot. Early cloud, clearing to a mostly sunny afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h near the coast in the afternoon.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloud clearing. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.

    Forecast for Punchbowl (33.9257°S, 151.0546°E, 21m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Showers easing Possible shower Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 20° 22° 22° 26° 21° 17° 18°
    Maximum 30° 33° 39° 36° 26° 21° 23°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 80% 80% 80% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE ENE NE ENE NNE ENE WNW S SW SE S SSE ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 70% 55% 78% 54% 62% 38% 50% 46% 82% 62% 68% 65% 71% 62%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 22°C 23°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 18°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 16°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast

    Punchbowl 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast

    Punchbowl 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    8
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    5
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast

    Punchbowl 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Punchbowl Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25     		21.8 °C 29.4 °C
    2.8 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26     		24.1 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27     		22.9 °C 28.7 °C
    1.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28     		21.5 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29     		22.9 °C 28 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Punchbowl minimum temp history (33.9257°S, 151.0546°E, 21m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 45.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 14.7° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.6 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 10.3 14/01/1997
    Hottest this year 45.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 14.7° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 27.8° Long term average 18.4°
    Average this month 28.7° Average this month 19.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 1997
    Punchbowl rainfall history (33.9257°S, 151.0546°E, 21m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 21.4mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 56.8mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 86.8mm 11.3 days Wettest January on record 259.6mm 2017

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Punchbowl Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 86.8mm 11.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 56.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 74.4mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 21.4mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 14.7°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 45.9°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Punchbowl Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.8 27.3 26.0 23.4 20.6 18.1 17.5 19.0 21.9 23.7 24.8 26.5 23.1
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.4 16.5 12.8 9.3 7.1 5.8 6.5 9.5 12.1 14.9 16.8 12.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 86.8 106.7 82.0 110.9 78.9 109.0 66.6 68.6 47.4 62.6 79.4 64.7 966.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.3 11.5 12.4 11.5 10.8 12.7 11.1 8.0 8.0 8.5 11.7 10.4 120.1

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