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Forecast

Pilot Wilderness (35.6994°S, 146.6835°E, 170m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EST 6:35am EST 5:57pm EST 6:23pm EST
    NOW
    14.6° Feels Like: 12.5°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 8.3°
    Wind: SE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1026.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Pilot Wilderness
    Now
    12.0°c
    Feels Like:
    12.6°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Pilot Wilderness
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Showers easing
    12°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the east, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pilot Wilderness

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.

    Forecast for Pilot Wilderness (35.6994°S, 146.6835°E, 170m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Showers easing Clearing shower Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Fog then sunny
    Minimum 12° 11°
    Maximum 23° 22° 17° 18° 20° 23° 25°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 50% 5% 5% 5% 30%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate High Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ENE NE NW WSW WSW SW SW E WSW ENE W ENE N
    Relative humidity 67% 51% 87% 58% 70% 46% 69% 49% 75% 52% 73% 48% 69% 47%
    Dew point 8°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 7°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 5°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 10°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pilot Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Pilot Wilderness 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pilot Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Pilot Wilderness 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    10
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pilot Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Pilot Wilderness 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pilot Wilderness Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    9.0 °C 19.0 °C
    3.2 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    8.2 °C 17.9 °C
    1.4 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    12.4 °C 18.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    6.2 °C 19.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    6.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pilot Wilderness minimum temp history (35.6994°S, 146.6835°E, 170m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.0° 03/04/2020 Coldest this month 6.0° 08/04/2020
    Hottest on record 36.5 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 0.0 25/04/1976
    Hottest this year 46.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.0° 08/04/2020
    Long term average 22.8° Long term average 8.9°
    Average this month 20.2° Average this month 8.4°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 1999
    Pilot Wilderness rainfall history (35.6994°S, 146.6835°E, 170m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.2mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 5.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.3mm 5.8 days Wettest April on record 167.6mm 1974
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1890
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Pilot Wilderness Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 148.9mm 18.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 173.8mm 16.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 58.6mm 19.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 85.0mm Mar 7
    Lowest Temperature 6.0°C Apr 8
    Highest Temperature 46.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pilot Wilderness Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.5 28.0 22.8 18.1 14.2 13.1 15.0 17.9 22.0 26.3 29.5 22.5
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.0 12.9 8.9 6.0 3.8 3.1 3.9 5.6 7.9 11.0 13.4 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 36.5 37.2 37.9 37.3 46.9 56.3 55.1 53.2 48.5 51.5 42.0 40.7 543.0
    Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.9 4.6 5.8 8.1 10.6 11.9 11.4 9.0 8.3 6.2 5.3 88.2