Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall
for parts of South Coast Forecast District.
Issued at 9:50 pm Tuesday, 16 April 2024.
Slow moving showers and thunderstorms on the South Coast.
Weather Situation
Moist onshore flow is bringing showers and thunderstorms leading to HEAVY to LOCALLY INTENSE rainfall to northern parts of the South Coast.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South Coast
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Batemans Bay, Moruya Heads and Narooma.
72mm of rain was observed in the hour to 9:45pm AEST at Moruya Airport.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 12:50 am Wednesday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Pericoe (37.1033°S, 149.5966°E, 234m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
14° 16° possible shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:02am EST 6:27am EST 5:33pm EST 5:58pm EST NOW16.4° Feels Like: 15.9° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 13.1° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1025.6hPa -
Today Weather
PericoeNow16.8°cFeels Like:14.1°Wind:SW 19km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:78%
14°Min16°MaxToday in PericoeCloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.Tomorrow
14°Min16°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of morning fog in the S. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
Forecast for Pericoe (37.1033°S, 149.5966°E, 234m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary 
Minimum 14° 12° 13° 12° 10° 11° 13° Maximum 16° 18° 17° 17° 17° 18° 19° Chance of rain 70% 40% 80% 20% 5% 30% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction SW SE WSW SW SW SW SW S W ESE NW ENE NW SE Relative humidity 82% 75% 79% 52% 74% 71% 74% 62% 72% 61% 73% 69% 64% 68% Dew point 12°C 12°C 11°C 8°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Pericoe Rain Forecast
Pericoe 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025877876794796105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Pericoe Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1210.5 °C 20.7 °C -Saturday
Apr 1313.5 °C 21.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 1414.3 °C 21.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1511.3 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1614.8 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Pericoe minimum temp history (37.1033°S, 149.5966°E, 234m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.0° 02/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.4° 10/04/2024 Hottest on record 36.0 08/04/1998 Coldest on record 4.0 26/04/1999 Hottest this year 37.8° 24/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.4° 10/04/2024 Long term average 21.7° Long term average 11.0° Average this month 22.2° Average this month 13.2° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.1° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 8.9° 2006 Pericoe rainfall history (37.1033°S, 149.5966°E, 234m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 35.0mm 07/04/2024 Total This Month 56.6mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 63.0mm 9.8 days Wettest April on record 200.2mm 2015 Driest on record 0.2mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Pericoe Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 305.2mm 42.2 day(s) Total For 2024 215.6mm 36.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 207.0mm 38.0 day(s) Wettest Day 35.0mm Apr 7 Lowest Temperature 7.4°C Apr10 Highest Temperature 37.8°C Jan24 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Pericoe Climatology
Pericoe Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.9 24.6 23.6 21.7 19.3 17.0 16.7 17.4 19.4 20.7 21.8 23.3 20.8 Mean Min (°C) 15.6 15.4 13.8 11.0 7.6 5.5 4.2 4.8 6.9 9.2 11.8 13.8 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 64.9 85.7 91.6 63.0 55.0 66.3 46.7 43.4 41.8 64.9 81.6 69.8 777.1 Mean Rain Days 11.5 10.1 10.8 9.8 8.5 10.4 9.3 9.0 9.8 11.9 11.6 11.6 124.6
