Forecast
Perekerten (34.9166°S, 143.8333°E, 66m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY17° 42° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:36am EDT 6:06am EDT 8:30pm EDT 8:59pm EDT NOW19.1° Feels Like: 15.2° Relative Humidity: 31% Dew: 1.6° Wind: NE 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.3hPa -
Today Weather
PerekertenNow23.1°cFeels Like:18.2°Wind:ENE 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:21%17°Min42°MaxToday in PerekertenHot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the northeast in the morning and early afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NE in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.Tomorrow17°Min34°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Perekerten
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the northeast in the morning and early afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NE in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
Forecast for Perekerten (34.9166°S, 143.8333°E, 66m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 17° 17° 11° 12° 10° 11° 12° Maximum 42° 34° 31° 29° 28° 30° 30° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)21
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction NE NW SW SW SSW SW SSW SW SSW SW SW WSW SW WSW Relative humidity 19% 7% 47% 18% 40% 15% 45% 23% 45% 20% 52% 28% 52% 22% Dew point 1°C -1°C 8°C 5°C 2°C 1°C 4°C 5°C 2°C 1°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Perekerten Rain Forecast
Perekerten 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Perekerten Rain Forecast
Perekerten 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020457755773568105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Perekerten Rain Forecast
Perekerten 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Perekerten Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 0411.9 °C 28.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0510.9 °C 30.8 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0611.4 °C 28.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0710.5 °C 29.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0813.4 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Perekerten minimum temp history (34.9166°S, 143.8333°E, 66m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.8° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.1° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 45.1 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 5.5 03/12/1987 Hottest this year 47.4° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.6° 24/06/2019 Long term average 30.5° Long term average 14.6° Average this month 25.2° Average this month 10.9° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.2° 2003 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 12.0° 2001 Perekerten rainfall history (34.9166°S, 143.8333°E, 66m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.2mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 6.2mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 24.1mm 3.6 days Wettest December on record 145.3mm 2003 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NSW/ACT
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Year to Date
Perekerten Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 311.0mm 62.1 day(s) Total For 2019 149.6mm 58.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 137.8mm 53.0 day(s) Wettest Day 18.6mm Nov 3 Lowest Temperature -0.6°C Jun24 Highest Temperature 47.4°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Perekerten Climatology
Perekerten Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.6 29.1 24.3 19.5 16.2 15.6 17.5 20.6 24.5 27.9 30.5 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.6 13.7 9.8 7.0 4.5 3.7 4.7 6.9 9.6 12.6 14.6 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 21.0 23.1 21.2 23.2 30.5 28.5 25.8 28.9 28.7 28.7 27.3 24.1 310.6 Mean Rain Days 3.0 2.8 3.3 4.0 6.0 7.3 7.9 7.7 6.5 5.6 4.4 3.6 61.3