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Forecast

Pemulwuy (33.8159°S, 150.9208°E, 102m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 22° 30°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:43am EDT 6:10am EDT 8:06pm EDT 8:34pm EDT
    NOW
    22.9° Feels Like: 25.1°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 19.4°
    Wind: ESE 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Pemulwuy
    Now
    24.1°c
    Feels Like:
    25.9°
    Wind:
    ENE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Showers
     
    22°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Pemulwuy
    Cloudy. Medium chance of a light shower or two. Possible smoke haze, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    22°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, mainly in the west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then turning S/SE in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pemulwuy

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of a light shower or two. Possible smoke haze, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Pemulwuy (33.8159°S, 150.9208°E, 102m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Showers Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 22° 22° 22° 22° 21° 20° 20°
    Maximum 30° 34° 31° 31° 28° 31° 35°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 20% 30% 20% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE NNW ENE SSW ESE SSW SE S ESE NE E N ENE
    Relative humidity 83% 70% 84% 54% 81% 59% 79% 59% 80% 61% 76% 55% 70% 41%
    Dew point 20°C 23°C 23°C 23°C 21°C 22°C 23°C 22°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pemulwuy Rain Forecast


    Pemulwuy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pemulwuy Rain Forecast


    Pemulwuy 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    8
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    5
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pemulwuy Rain Forecast


    Pemulwuy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pemulwuy Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.3 °C 32.4 °C
    0.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    16.4 °C 33.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    17.5 °C 35.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    17.0 °C 42.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    20.8 °C 25 °C
    1.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pemulwuy minimum temp history (33.8159°S, 150.9208°E, 102m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 47.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.4° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.9 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 10.4 12/01/2012
    Hottest this year 47.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.4° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 29.8° Long term average 17.8°
    Average this month 30.1° Average this month 18.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.5° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.5° 2000
    Pemulwuy rainfall history (33.8159°S, 150.9208°E, 102m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.8mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 32.0mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 80.5mm 11.7 days Wettest January on record 254.6mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Pemulwuy Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 80.5mm 11.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 32.0mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 48.6mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.8mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 15.4°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 47.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pemulwuy Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 28.7 26.8 23.7 20.5 17.6 17.2 19.0 22.3 24.7 26.4 28.2 23.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.8 16.1 12.8 9.1 7.2 5.8 6.5 9.4 11.7 14.4 16.1 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 80.5 114.3 83.8 78.3 45.9 78.2 40.2 41.2 38.4 56.3 83.9 69.9 811.2
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.2 12.4 11.6 9.3 10.7 8.9 7.7 8.6 9.1 11.5 11.3 116.5