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Forecast

Paterson (32.5992°S, 151.6183°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Fog then sunny 13° 31°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am EDT 6:04am EDT 7:12pm EDT 7:38pm EDT
    NOW
    18.8° Feels Like: 19.1°
    Relative Humidity: 81%
    Dew: 15.5°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Paterson
    Now
    18.0°c
    Feels Like:
    18.5°
    Wind:
    E 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Fog then sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Paterson
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the Upper Hunter at night. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the evening, possibly severe. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    13°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the Upper Hunter at night. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the evening, possibly severe. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Paterson (32.5992°S, 151.6183°E, 1m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Fog then sunny Showers Rain Possible shower Showers Heavy showers Thunderstorms
    Minimum 13° 17° 13° 12° 12° 12° 12°
    Maximum 31° 25° 18° 17° 21° 22° 24°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 80% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 10-20mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW E N NNE SW SSW S S SW S S SE SSW SE
    Relative humidity 77% 46% 78% 76% 92% 87% 92% 84% 85% 75% 86% 76% 84% 66%
    Dew point 17°C 18°C 18°C 20°C 13°C 16°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Paterson Rain Forecast


    Paterson 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Paterson Rain Forecast


    Paterson 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    8
    9
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    8
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Paterson Rain Forecast


    Paterson 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 19 November to 23 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 October to 1 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 25 November to 29 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 16 November to 20 November, and 24 November to 28 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Paterson Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    18.9 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    15.4 °C 19.5 °C
    15.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    11.3 °C 23.7 °C
    1.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 21
    9.8 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 22
    14.1 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Paterson minimum temp history (32.5992°S, 151.6183°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.5° 08/10/2020 Coldest this month 7.1° 11/10/2020
    Hottest on record 40.1 21/10/1988 Coldest on record 2.2 13/10/1987
    Hottest this year 46.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.1° 27/08/2020
    Long term average 25.1° Long term average 11.4°
    Average this month 26.7° Average this month 12.2°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 1988 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 1994
    Paterson rainfall history (32.5992°S, 151.6183°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.0mm 19/10/2020 Total This Month 17.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.9mm 9.4 days Wettest October on record 288.2mm 1985
    Driest on record 1.3mm 1968
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Paterson Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 768.8mm 104.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 849.2mm 104.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 551.0mm 94.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 106.6mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 1.1°C Aug27
    Highest Temperature 46.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Paterson Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 28.9 27.1 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.3 19.3 22.4 25.1 26.8 29.0 24.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.6 17.5 15.7 12.5 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.6 8.9 11.4 14.0 16.2 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 110.1 117.2 115.7 88.1 70.9 76.5 40.1 37.8 47.5 64.9 85.2 82.1 938.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.4 12.3 10.7 11.5 11.9 10.1 8.0 7.9 9.4 11.3 10.1 123.1