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Forecast

Paling Yards (34.1289°S, 149.768°E, 907m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 17° 35°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EDT 5:41am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:34pm EDT
    NOW
    18.7° Feels Like: 19.0°
    Relative Humidity: 91%
    Dew: 17.3°
    Wind: NNW 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Paling Yards
    Now
    20.6°c
    Feels Like:
    19.3°
    Wind:
    W 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    61%
    Late shower
     
    17°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Paling Yards
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then shifting E/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW in the early afternoon then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 37.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then shifting E/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.

    Forecast for Paling Yards (34.1289°S, 149.768°E, 907m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Clearing shower Showers easing Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 17° 12° 12° 12° 12° 13° 13°
    Maximum 35° 24° 24° 19° 25° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 60% 40% 30% 30% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		-
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW W E E N WSW ENE ENE NW WNW WNW W WNW -
    Relative humidity 28% 14% 69% 35% 65% 28% 74% 46% 57% 31% 46% 23% 51% n/a
    Dew point 9°C 4°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 5°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 8°C 3°C 8°C n/a

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Paling Yards Rain Forecast

    Paling Yards 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Paling Yards Rain Forecast

    Paling Yards 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    6
    4
    7
    5
    4
    5
    1
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Paling Yards Rain Forecast

    Paling Yards 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Paling Yards Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 05     		9.5 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06     		12.0 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07     		4.5 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08     		6.5 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09     		14.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Paling Yards minimum temp history (34.1289°S, 149.768°E, 907m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 4.5° 01/12/2019
    Hottest on record 38.0 01/12/1982 Coldest on record -0.7 04/12/1987
    Hottest this year 39.0° 17/01/2019 Coldest this year -7.0° 11/08/2019
    Long term average 24.3° Long term average 9.9°
    Average this month 23.2° Average this month 8.1°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 1979 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 7.1° 1964
    Paling Yards rainfall history (34.1289°S, 149.768°E, 907m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 1.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.5mm 8.6 days Wettest December on record 189.4mm 1979

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Paling Yards Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 778.7mm 117.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 576.5mm 109.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 553.7mm 121.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 62.0mm Feb 4
    Lowest Temperature -7.0°C Aug11
    Highest Temperature 39.0°C Jan17

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Paling Yards Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 24.9 22.5 18.7 14.5 11.2 10.3 11.8 15.0 18.4 21.5 24.3 18.2
    Mean Min (°C) 12.0 12.0 9.9 6.3 3.3 1.8 0.6 1.3 3.2 5.4 7.8 9.9 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 70.5 67.7 65.4 55.3 54.5 76.2 67.1 64.5 60.4 68.4 65.2 63.5 778.6
    Mean Rain Days 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.5 9.5 12.1 12.0 10.9 10.0 9.6 8.9 8.6 112.7

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