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Forecast

Pagewood (33.9401°S, 151.2284°E, 24m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 18° 25°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:41am EDT 7:06am EDT 6:54pm EDT 7:19pm EDT
    NOW
    18.3° Feels Like: 20.5°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 17.5°
    Wind: N 2km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Pagewood
    Now
    18.0°c
    Feels Like:
    17.8°
    Wind:
    W 11km/h
    Gusts:
    18km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Clearing shower
     
    18°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Pagewood
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    18°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Cloudy. Patchy fog in the west in the early morning. High chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pagewood

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.

    Forecast for Pagewood (33.9401°S, 151.2284°E, 24m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 18° 18° 19° 19° 18° 19°
    Maximum 25° 25° 25° 25° 25° 28° 28°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 50% 70% 60% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NNW NNW SW SSE E ENE NNE NE NNW NNE NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 87% 70% 91% 75% 86% 72% 86% 69% 86% 72% 83% 60% 83% 58%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pagewood Rain Forecast


    Pagewood 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pagewood Rain Forecast


    Pagewood 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    7
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pagewood Rain Forecast


    Pagewood 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pagewood Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Mar 24
    17.0 °C 22.9 °C
    2.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    17.8 °C 23.9 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    17.5 °C 21.5 °C
    15.8 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    17.5 °C 23.3 °C
    2.4 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    16.3 °C 25 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pagewood minimum temp history (33.9401°S, 151.2284°E, 24m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.6° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 13.1° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 41.2 09/03/1983 Coldest on record 7.4 24/03/1967
    Hottest this year 43.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.1° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 25.3° Long term average 17.6°
    Average this month 25.5° Average this month 17.7°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.4° 1940 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 15.1° 1944
    Pagewood rainfall history (33.9401°S, 151.2284°E, 24m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 32.0mm 06/03/2020 Total This Month 111.8mm
    20.0 days
    Long Term Average 117.1mm 12.5 days Wettest March on record 393.0mm 1975
    Driest on record 6.4mm 1965
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Pagewood Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 323.6mm 35.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 549.6mm 47.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 299.0mm 41.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 162.8mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 13.1°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 43.7°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pagewood Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.4 25.3 22.9 20.1 17.6 17.1 18.4 20.6 22.7 24.1 25.8 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 18.9 19.1 17.6 14.3 11.0 8.7 7.2 8.2 10.5 13.3 15.5 17.6 13.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.9 111.6 117.1 108.8 96.9 125.4 70.7 77.4 60.4 69.8 81.7 73.8 1088.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.2 11.5 12.5 11.2 11.1 11.4 9.4 9.2 9.4 10.6 11.4 10.6 127.3