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Forecast

Orchard Hills (33.7793°S, 150.7163°E, 82m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Hazy 17° 42°
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:11am EDT 5:40am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:29pm EDT
    NOW
    21.0° Feels Like: 24.4°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 19.3°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Orchard Hills
    Now
    19.4°c
    Feels Like:
    20.9°
    Wind:
    E 4km/h
    Gusts:
    4km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Hazy
     
    17°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Today in Orchard Hills
    Hot. Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or storm in the late afternoon. Areas of smoke haze, thick in the morning. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    17°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze, mainly in the west. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h tending SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or storm in the late afternoon. Areas of smoke haze, thick in the morning. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon.

    Forecast for Orchard Hills (33.7793°S, 150.7163°E, 82m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Hazy Hazy Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 16° 16° 16° 16° 15° 16°
    Maximum 42° 29° 29° 25° 31° 32° 29°
    Chance of rain 40% 20% 30% 40% 5% 60% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE S S SE SSE SE SE ESE NW ESE NW SSE ESE SE
    Relative humidity 64% 20% 71% 46% 76% 46% 75% 50% 66% 30% 57% 24% 62% 30%
    Dew point 19°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 17°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 12°C 14°C 9°C 13°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orchard Hills Rain Forecast


    Orchard Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orchard Hills Rain Forecast


    Orchard Hills 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    1
    3
    6
    5
    8
    6
    6
    6
    5
    6
    2
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orchard Hills Rain Forecast


    Orchard Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orchard Hills Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    11.9 °C 36.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    15.6 °C 35.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    16.1 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    18.6 °C 29.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    19.4 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orchard Hills minimum temp history (33.7793°S, 150.7163°E, 82m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.5° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 11.9° 05/12/2019
    Hottest on record 42.3 17/12/2009 Coldest on record 9.8 07/12/2002
    Hottest this year 42.4° 05/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.3° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 29.4° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 31.6° Average this month 15.8°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.1° 2011
    Orchard Hills rainfall history (33.7793°S, 150.7163°E, 82m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 65.1mm 10.8 days Wettest December on record 164.2mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Orchard Hills Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 753.3mm 132.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 450.0mm 85.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 591.8mm 102.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 45.2mm Sep18
    Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Orchard Hills Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.9 29.5 27.5 24.4 21.1 18.1 17.8 19.9 23.3 25.9 27.4 29.4 24.6
    Mean Min (°C) 18.6 18.5 16.8 13.1 9.3 6.9 5.5 6.2 9.4 12.1 15.1 17.0 12.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 101.0 122.7 78.7 50.9 38.4 60.7 31.5 32.3 34.0 53.7 84.3 65.1 756.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.4 11.8 10.4 11.0 15.1 12.2 8.6 7.9 9.2 12.0 10.8 124.6