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Forecast

Orange South (33.2785°S, 149.0387°E, 864m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:54am EST 6:19am EST 5:53pm EST 6:18pm EST
    NOW
    12.1° Feels Like: 7.7°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 7.0°
    Wind: WNW 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Orange South
    Now
    15.1°c
    Feels Like:
    10.3°
    Wind:
    WNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Orange South
    Partly cloudy. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SW in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 20.

    Forecast for Orange South (33.2785°S, 149.0387°E, 864m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 14° 15° 15° 17° 17° 15°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 20% 40% 20% 50% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 32
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W WSW WSW ENE ENE E E E ENE NNE WNW W WSW
    Relative humidity 74% 64% 87% 79% 89% 70% 88% 76% 84% 67% 87% 72% 81% 68%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orange South Rain Forecast


    Orange South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orange South Rain Forecast


    Orange South 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orange South Rain Forecast


    Orange South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orange South Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    7.5 °C 21.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    12.5 °C 16.6 °C
    4.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    13.8 °C 16.5 °C
    17.2 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    12.8 °C 13.8 °C
    43.6 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    7.0 °C 14 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orange South minimum temp history (33.2785°S, 149.0387°E, 864m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 7.0° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 28.1 06/04/2016 Coldest on record -4.6 22/04/2006
    Hottest this year 38.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.1° 18/03/2020
    Long term average 18.7° Long term average 5.6°
    Average this month 17.1° Average this month 10.7°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.4° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 2.7° 2006
    Orange South rainfall history (33.2785°S, 149.0387°E, 864m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 44.0mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 65.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 44.9mm 7.8 days Wettest April on record 145.0mm 2015
    Driest on record 4.0mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Orange South Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 255.6mm 32.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 389.4mm 32.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 178.6mm 27.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 58.2mm Jan26
    Lowest Temperature 5.1°C Mar18
    Highest Temperature 38.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Orange South Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 26.0 22.9 18.7 14.1 10.8 9.7 11.2 14.8 18.1 21.8 24.7 18.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.7 12.6 9.8 5.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.9 3.3 5.5 8.4 10.4 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.2 77.5 71.0 44.9 50.5 87.9 83.4 86.6 83.9 75.6 83.7 91.5 897.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.0 8.4 7.8 12.5 18.2 19.1 15.8 11.7 9.4 10.0 9.0 132.4