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Forecast

Orange (33.2836°S, 149.1°E, 859m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 12° 31°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:48am EDT 6:16am EDT 8:14pm EDT 8:42pm EDT
    NOW
    31.1° Feels Like: 23.5°
    Relative Humidity: 13%
    Dew: -0.5°
    Wind: NNW 28km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Orange
    Now
    31.8°c
    Feels Like:
    26.2°
    Wind:
    NNW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    14%
    Sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Orange
    Sunny. Light winds becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    19°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Areas of raised dust in the afternoon and early evening. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening with gusty winds. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h turning NW 35 to 55 km/h during the morning then tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.

    Forecast for Orange (33.2836°S, 149.1°E, 859m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 19° 17° 13° 17° 17° 18°
    Maximum 31° 33° 28° 30° 30° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 20% 40% 50% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW N NW SW WSW E NW NE WNW NNE NNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 51% 19% 45% 29% 69% 36% 62% 30% 72% 34% 76% 48% 80% 49%
    Dew point 10°C 4°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 17°C 13°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orange Rain Forecast


    Orange 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orange Rain Forecast


    Orange 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orange Rain Forecast


    Orange 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orange Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    14.8 °C 24.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    14.6 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    14.5 °C 27.2 °C
    18.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    12.1 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    11.9 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orange minimum temp history (33.2836°S, 149.1°E, 859m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.8° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.1 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 1.1 09/01/2004
    Hottest this year 38.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.8° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 27.1° Long term average 12.7°
    Average this month 30.5° Average this month 15.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.5° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 2000
    Orange rainfall history (33.2836°S, 149.1°E, 859m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.4mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 51.0mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.2mm 8.0 days Wettest January on record 133.8mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Orange Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 62.2mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 51.0mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 46.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 19.4mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 11.8°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 38.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Orange Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 26.0 22.9 18.7 14.1 10.8 9.7 11.2 14.8 18.1 21.8 24.7 18.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.7 12.6 9.8 5.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.9 3.3 5.5 8.4 10.4 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.2 77.5 71.0 44.9 50.5 87.9 83.4 86.6 83.9 75.6 83.7 91.5 897.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.0 8.4 7.8 12.5 18.2 19.1 15.8 11.7 9.4 10.0 9.0 132.4