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Forecast

Orama (30.4333°S, 152.6666°E, 57m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 23° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EDT 6:05am EDT 7:52pm EDT 8:19pm EDT
    NOW
    29.3° Feels Like: 28.9°
    Relative Humidity: 70%
    Dew: 23.3°
    Wind: ENE 30km/h
    Gust: 39km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Orama
    Now
    37.8°c
    Feels Like:
    34.1°
    Wind:
    N 20km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    20%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    23°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Orama
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during this afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    22°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during this afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.

    Forecast for Orama (30.4333°S, 152.6666°E, 57m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 23° 22° 24° 25° 23° 23° 23°
    Maximum 33° 31° 33° 32° 30° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 30% 40% 20% 70% 80% 50% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N ENE N ENE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NE
    Relative humidity 75% 62% 73% 70% 78% 65% 77% 72% 83% 80% 81% 75% 79% 76%
    Dew point 24°C 24°C 22°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 26°C 23°C 25°C 24°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orama Rain Forecast


    Orama 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orama Rain Forecast


    Orama 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    5
    7
    6
    6
    8
    6
    6
    5
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orama Rain Forecast


    Orama 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orama Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17
    17.9 °C 21.4 °C
    25.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    16.0 °C 20.0 °C
    33.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    17.0 °C 23.5 °C
    92.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.7 °C 28 °C
    58.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    22 °C -
    3.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orama minimum temp history (30.4333°S, 152.6666°E, 57m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 13.5° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 36.3 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.5 20/01/2010
    Hottest this year 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.5° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 24.2° Long term average 15.0°
    Average this month 26.6° Average this month 17.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 1997
    Orama rainfall history (30.4333°S, 152.6666°E, 57m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 92.0mm 19/01/2020 Total This Month 232.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 298.5mm 15.4 days Wettest January on record 881.6mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Orama Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 298.5mm 15.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 232.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 2.5mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 92.0mm Jan19
    Lowest Temperature 13.5°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Orama Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.8 22.4 19.8 17.1 14.9 14.5 16.1 19.2 21.3 22.3 23.8 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 13.6 10.7 7.4 5.4 4.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.2 13.9 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 298.5 286.9 313.5 138.8 112.8 133.9 57.6 109.6 80.1 121.2 187.7 172.9 2022.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.4 16.1 17.8 14.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 7.7 9.3 11.9 15.8 16.6 151.6