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Forecast

Oberne Creek (35.4919°S, 147.8599°E, 298m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 14°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:59am EST 6:24am EST 5:56pm EST 6:22pm EST
    NOW
    15.8° Feels Like: 11.5°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 8.8°
    Wind: WNW 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Oberne Creek
    Now
    16.0°c
    Feels Like:
    13.7°
    Wind:
    WNW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Oberne Creek
    Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the southeast. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Oberne Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.

    Forecast for Oberne Creek (35.4919°S, 147.8599°E, 298m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Clearing shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 14° 16° 18° 20° 22° 21° 18°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 50% 20% 20% 70% 80%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Moderate Nil Slight Nil Slight Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW W WSW ESE WNW ESE SW ESE W N NW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 81% 75% 87% 57% 71% 58% 78% 62% 69% 51% 75% 63% 78% 59%
    Dew point 4°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 13°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Oberne Creek Rain Forecast


    Oberne Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Oberne Creek Rain Forecast


    Oberne Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    10
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Oberne Creek Rain Forecast


    Oberne Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Oberne Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    5.6 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    9.1 °C 19.3 °C
    7.4 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    8.0 °C 17.5 °C
    20.8 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    10.6 °C 13.7 °C
    4.4 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    6.2 °C -
    10.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Oberne Creek minimum temp history (35.4919°S, 147.8599°E, 298m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.9° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 5.6° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 31.6 06/04/1986 Coldest on record -4.1 27/04/1967
    Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.9° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 20.0° Long term average 5.1°
    Average this month 18.9° Average this month 7.9°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.3° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 1995
    Oberne Creek rainfall history (35.4919°S, 147.8599°E, 298m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.8mm 03/04/2020 Total This Month 42.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.5mm 6.8 days Wettest April on record 194.5mm 1926
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1902
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Oberne Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 237.1mm 24.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 219.2mm 30.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 212.2mm 38.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.6mm Mar 6
    Lowest Temperature 3.9°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Oberne Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.4 25.1 20.0 15.2 11.8 10.7 12.3 15.4 19.4 22.8 26.0 19.5
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.1 8.9 5.1 2.4 0.3 -0.1 0.9 3.1 5.3 7.8 9.8 5.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 58.4 52.4 63.8 62.5 79.6 98.9 100.0 100.6 86.9 90.0 72.5 66.8 930.4
    Mean Rain Days 5.6 5.4 6.2 6.8 9.0 11.8 13.2 12.7 10.7 9.6 7.8 6.8 104.4