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Forecast

Oak Flats (34.5649°S, 150.8193°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 18° 26°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:09am EDT 5:38am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:35pm EDT
    NOW
    19.7° Feels Like: 18.7°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 14.9°
    Wind: NNE 13km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Oak Flats
    Now
    18.3°c
    Feels Like:
    19.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Hazy
     
    18°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Oak Flats
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Areas of smoke haze. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE early in the morning then tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    19°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h shifting SE 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Oak Flats

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Areas of smoke haze. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE early in the morning then tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Oak Flats (34.5649°S, 150.8193°E, 6m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Hazy Hazy Hazy Hazy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 19° 16° 16° 19° 18° 19°
    Maximum 26° 23° 23° 27° 35° 23° 29°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 5% 5% 10% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE SSW S E E NNE NE WNW S SSE E NE E
    Relative humidity 74% 54% 68% 62% 56% 56% 51% 47% 31% 40% 57% 56% 53% 52%
    Dew point 17°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 12°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Oak Flats Rain Forecast


    Oak Flats 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Oak Flats Rain Forecast


    Oak Flats 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    7
    1
    6
    1
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Oak Flats Rain Forecast


    Oak Flats 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Oak Flats Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    14.2 °C 30.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    16.4 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    17.0 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    16.1 °C 21.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14
    13.8 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Oak Flats minimum temp history (34.5649°S, 150.8193°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.4° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 11.7° 06/12/2019
    Hottest on record 39.4 13/12/2016 Coldest on record 6.1 06/12/2012
    Hottest this year 39.8° 31/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.1° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 25.5° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 26.5° Average this month 15.0°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.1° 2016 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 2011
    Oak Flats rainfall history (34.5649°S, 150.8193°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 69.3mm 11.7 days Wettest December on record 171.8mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Oak Flats Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 961.4mm 122.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 594.6mm 79.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 604.4mm 117.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 58.0mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature -1.1°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 39.8°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Oak Flats Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.9 26.3 25.2 23.2 20.6 18.1 17.6 18.8 21.3 23.1 24.0 25.5 22.5
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 17.2 15.6 12.1 8.8 7.2 6.3 6.5 8.6 10.7 13.4 15.2 11.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 74.6 144.8 122.4 79.7 59.8 102.7 56.2 57.5 45.6 67.6 81.2 69.3 960.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.1 11.9 12.1 11.4 8.1 9.9 7.8 7.9 8.4 9.7 12.7 11.7 116.3