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Forecast

Nabiac (32.0987°S, 152.3778°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 10° 18°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EST 6:44am EST 4:52pm EST 5:19pm EST
    NOW
    11.6° Feels Like: 8.9°
    Relative Humidity: 78%
    Dew: 7.9°
    Wind: WSW 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1028.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nabiac
    Now
    13.2°c
    Feels Like:
    9.4°
    Wind:
    WSW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Possible shower
     
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Nabiac
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog inland. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, most likely in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 19.

    Forecast for Nabiac (32.0987°S, 152.3778°E, 7m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 18° 20° 21° 19° 19° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 30% 80% 40% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW WSW SSW W SSW W SW SW SSW SSW S W ESE
    Relative humidity 76% 74% 76% 61% 71% 59% 71% 60% 82% 75% 79% 72% 81% 68%
    Dew point 8°C 13°C 9°C 12°C 8°C 12°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 14°C 10°C 14°C 11°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nabiac Rain Forecast


    Nabiac 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nabiac Rain Forecast


    Nabiac 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    5
    8
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    4
    8
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nabiac Rain Forecast


    Nabiac 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 June to 19 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 June to 15 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 19 June to 23 June, and 26 June to 30 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nabiac Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    May 29
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    May 30
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    May 31
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Jun 01
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nabiac minimum temp history (32.0987°S, 152.3778°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 26.4 16/06/2002 Coldest on record 3.9 05/06/2000
    Hottest this year 35.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.0° 27/01/2020
    Long term average 18.9° Long term average 9.9°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.4° 2016 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 8.3° 2015
    Nabiac rainfall history (32.0987°S, 152.3778°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 112.7mm 8.4 days Wettest June on record 406.1mm 1937
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1904
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Nabiac Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 694.6mm 51.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 134.7mm 23.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 358.8mm 55.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.0mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C Jan27
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nabiac Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.4 25.6 23.8 21.2 18.9 18.2 19.4 21.6 22.8 23.8 25.5 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.5 19.5 17.9 15.2 12.0 9.9 8.8 9.2 11.8 13.8 16.4 18.0 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.2 111.5 137.3 118.1 110.8 112.7 84.5 68.3 65.5 72.5 82.4 89.4 1156.8
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 8.4 9.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 7.7 6.9 6.9 7.8 8.3 7.6 95.8