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Forecast

Myrtle Mountain (36.8606°S, 149.6902°E, 509m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 19°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:30am EST 6:58am EST 5:16pm EST 5:43pm EST
    NOW
    11.7° Feels Like: 10.6°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 8.2°
    Wind: N 4km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Myrtle Mountain
    Now
    8.0°c
    Feels Like:
    5.2°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Myrtle Mountain
    Medium chance of showers in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Medium chance of showers in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.

    Forecast for Myrtle Mountain (36.8606°S, 149.6902°E, 509m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 19° 16° 18° 19° 18° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 30% 5% 20% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW W W WSW WSW SW W ESE WNW E WNW E W ESE
    Relative humidity 81% 44% 70% 52% 76% 57% 77% 52% 82% 58% 87% 61% 86% 61%
    Dew point 10°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Myrtle Mountain Rain Forecast


    Myrtle Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Myrtle Mountain Rain Forecast


    Myrtle Mountain 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    10
    6
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Myrtle Mountain Rain Forecast


    Myrtle Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Myrtle Mountain Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    7.9 °C 19.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    3.2 °C 16.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    2.1 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    6.3 °C 15.9 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    1.2 °C 15.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Myrtle Mountain minimum temp history (36.8606°S, 149.6902°E, 509m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.9° 01/08/2021 Coldest this month 1.2° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 28.0 28/08/2007 Coldest on record -1.0 08/08/2006
    Hottest this year 31.1° 22/01/2021 Coldest this year 0.2° 04/07/2021
    Long term average 17.3° Long term average 4.7°
    Average this month 15.7° Average this month 3.8°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.7° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.6° 2003
    Myrtle Mountain rainfall history (36.8606°S, 149.6902°E, 509m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.6mm 01/08/2021 Total This Month 1.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 44.6mm 8.5 days Wettest August on record 153.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 2.6mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Myrtle Mountain Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 521.4mm 77.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 862.2mm 75.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 533.8mm 69.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 125.0mm May12
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Jul 4
    Highest Temperature 31.1°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Myrtle Mountain Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.9 24.6 23.6 21.7 19.3 16.9 16.7 17.3 19.4 20.7 21.9 23.4 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.5 13.7 10.9 7.7 5.6 4.2 4.7 6.8 9.1 11.8 13.8 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 61.0 87.1 88.3 61.8 56.4 70.9 51.3 44.6 40.9 59.7 78.4 60.0 740.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 10.1 10.5 9.5 8.3 10.6 9.4 8.5 9.8 11.7 11.1 11.2 121.9