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Forecast

Murrumbucca (36.0742°S, 149.0689°E, 896m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Fog then sunny -5° 15°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:28pm EST 5:55pm EST
    NOW
    -1.0° Feels Like: -6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: -1.1°
    Wind: NE 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1020.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Murrumbucca
    Now
    -1.4°c
    Feels Like:
    -4.8°
    Wind:
    SE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Fog then sunny
     
    -5°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Murrumbucca
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog or frost. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    -1°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, mainly about the alpine peaks, and possibly falling as snow above 1700 metres. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog or frost. Light winds.

    Forecast for Murrumbucca (36.0742°S, 149.0689°E, 896m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Fog then sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Frost then sunny
    Minimum -5° -1° -1° -1°
    Maximum 15° 13° 16° 14° 13° 13° 14°
    Chance of rain 20% 40% 30% 70% 60% 50% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Severe Severe High Severe Severe High High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE N NNW NNW WNW N N W SW WNW W NW WNW
    Relative humidity 85% 48% 89% 68% 90% 57% 94% 62% 96% 70% 89% 63% 88% 57%
    Dew point 0°C 3°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Murrumbucca Rain Forecast


    Murrumbucca 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Murrumbucca Rain Forecast


    Murrumbucca 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Murrumbucca Rain Forecast


    Murrumbucca 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Murrumbucca Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    -8.0 °C 10.0 °C
    -
    Friday
    Aug 07
    -3.0 °C 7.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    3.0 °C 9.0 °C
    7.6 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    5.8 °C 10.5 °C
    25.4 mm
    Monday
    Aug 10
    -4.8 °C -
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Murrumbucca minimum temp history (36.0742°S, 149.0689°E, 896m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.0° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month -8.0° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 24.5 26/08/1995 Coldest on record -10.5 08/08/2006
    Hottest this year 40.0° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -8.5° 08/06/2020
    Long term average 13.4° Long term average -1.9°
    Average this month 11.2° Average this month -1.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -4.1° 1994
    Murrumbucca rainfall history (36.0742°S, 149.0689°E, 896m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.4mm 09/08/2020 Total This Month 34.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 27.0mm 8.6 days Wettest August on record 108.3mm 1998
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Murrumbucca Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 342.6mm 67.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 250.9mm 40.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 241.4mm 42.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.4mm Feb12
    Lowest Temperature -8.5°C Jun 8
    Highest Temperature 40.0°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Murrumbucca Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.3 23.8 19.4 15.6 11.9 11.4 13.4 16.3 19.5 22.5 25.0 19.4
    Mean Min (°C) 10.8 10.6 8.2 4.1 0.7 -1.3 -2.7 -1.9 1.2 3.7 6.9 8.9 4.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 58.2 60.3 58.1 40.1 29.6 41.1 28.2 27.0 36.2 44.7 62.6 56.7 543.8
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 7.9 8.3 8.2 8.0 10.0 8.6 8.6 9.6 9.4 10.7 8.9 103.1