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Forecast

Murrami (34.4261°S, 146.3008°E, 136m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Fog then sunny -1° 13°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:37am EST 7:03am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST
    NOW
    3.2° Feels Like: 0.2°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 1.3°
    Wind: W 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Murrami
    Now
    0.7°c
    Feels Like:
    -1.5°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Fog then sunny
     
    -1°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Murrami
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Areas of morning fog in the southeast. Medium chance of rain in the northwest, most likely at night. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending E/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 3 with daytime temperatures reaching around 12.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    -1°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Locally heavy falls possible. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE 35 to 50 km/h during the morning then becoming E 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 12.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Murrami

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Areas of morning fog in the southeast. Medium chance of rain in the northwest, most likely at night. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending E/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 3 with daytime temperatures reaching around 12.

    Forecast for Murrami (34.4261°S, 146.3008°E, 136m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Fog then sunny Windy with rain Possible shower Showers increasing Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Thunderstorms
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 13° 12° 13° 13° 17° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 50% 5% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Severe Slight Nil Nil Moderate Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S E E NNE NNW WNW WSW SSW S NE NNE N NNW
    Relative humidity 93% 58% 99% 92% 100% 84% 100% 84% 99% 64% 92% 66% 97% 74%
    Dew point 3°C 4°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Murrami Rain Forecast


    Murrami 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 August to 18 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 6 September to 10 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 August to 16 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 28 August to 1 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Murrami Rain Forecast


    Murrami 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    8
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Murrami Rain Forecast


    Murrami 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 August to 18 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 6 September to 10 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 August to 16 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 28 August to 1 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Murrami Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Aug 01
    1.8 °C 15.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 02
    3.6 °C 18.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 03
    6.4 °C 19.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    6.1 °C 12.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    0.1 °C 13.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Murrami minimum temp history (34.4261°S, 146.3008°E, 136m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.3° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month 0.1° 05/08/2020
    Hottest on record 30.0 30/08/2007 Coldest on record -1.0 16/08/2002
    Hottest this year 45.2° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 0.0° 23/07/2020
    Long term average 16.3° Long term average 5.4°
    Average this month 14.5° Average this month 3.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.7° 2007 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2014
    Murrami rainfall history (34.4261°S, 146.3008°E, 136m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/08/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 36.3mm 10.6 days Wettest August on record 85.8mm 1983
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1957
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Murrami Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 267.0mm 58.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 337.6mm 69.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 186.6mm 51.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 71.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 0.0°C Jul23
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Murrami Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.0 32.5 29.0 24.2 19.0 15.1 14.3 16.3 20.3 24.7 28.9 31.1 24.2
    Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.4 15.4 11.7 7.7 5.9 5.0 5.4 7.7 10.4 14.3 16.4 11.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.7 31.5 33.1 29.6 36.9 35.6 34.3 36.3 36.5 37.7 29.5 30.9 401.6
    Mean Rain Days 4.2 3.9 4.5 5.2 7.8 10.3 11.6 10.6 8.8 7.0 5.5 5.2 83.5