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Forecast

Murragamba (32.3°S, 149.7916°E, 440m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers easing 13°
    showers easing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am EST 6:45am EST 5:30pm EST 5:55pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 6.2°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 6.3°
    Wind: WNW 17km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Murragamba
    Now
    10.3°c
    Feels Like:
    6.2°
    Wind:
    WNW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Showers easing
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Murragamba
    Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Snow falling above 1100 metres. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Murragamba

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 15.

    Forecast for Murragamba (32.3°S, 149.7916°E, 440m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Showers easing Possible shower Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Late shower Fog then sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 11° 15° 17° 17° 20° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 10% 20% 70% 30% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 20-40mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Slight Moderate Slight Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N WNW W WSW S SSE ESE ENE NNE N N W NNE N
    Relative humidity 95% 78% 86% 74% 84% 59% 81% 62% 86% 70% 82% 60% 81% 79%
    Dew point 8°C 8°C 5°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 10°C 6°C 11°C 8°C 12°C 9°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Murragamba Rain Forecast


    Murragamba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Murragamba Rain Forecast


    Murragamba 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    10
    6
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Murragamba Rain Forecast


    Murragamba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Murragamba Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Aug 03
    3.6 °C 17.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    -0.4 °C 17.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    -0.7 °C 11.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    -2.9 °C 12.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    3.4 °C -
    1.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Murragamba minimum temp history (32.3°S, 149.7916°E, 440m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.2° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month -2.9° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 27.2 26/08/1995 Coldest on record -4.9 06/08/1974
    Hottest this year 42.5° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.9° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 16.5° Long term average 3.4°
    Average this month 15.5° Average this month 0.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.1° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.6° 2012
    Murragamba rainfall history (32.3°S, 149.7916°E, 440m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.0mm 07/08/2020 Total This Month 1.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 45.6mm 6.8 days Wettest August on record 171.2mm 1887
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1914
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Murragamba Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 416.7mm 48.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 564.8mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 210.7mm 34.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.0mm Mar 6
    Lowest Temperature -2.9°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 42.5°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Murragamba Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.0 30.1 27.5 23.5 19.1 15.4 14.7 16.5 19.7 23.5 26.7 29.7 23.1
    Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.3 13.8 9.8 6.4 3.7 2.6 3.4 6.0 9.1 12.3 14.8 9.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 69.6 60.1 54.9 42.8 44.3 51.0 48.4 45.6 47.4 55.0 59.6 66.9 645.4
    Mean Rain Days 5.9 5.3 5.3 4.6 5.7 7.3 7.6 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.3 73.7