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Forecast

Mungle (28.8333°S, 150.4°E, 237m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 15° 20°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:16am EST 6:41am EST 5:29pm EST 5:54pm EST
    NOW
    17.5° Feels Like: 16.0°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 13.3°
    Wind: NE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mungle
    Now
    16.0°c
    Feels Like:
    11.5°
    Wind:
    E 28km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    82%
    Showers
     
    15°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Mungle
    Partly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting W during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of frost on the N slopes in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower on the S slopes, near zero chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 35 km/h before turning SW 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting W during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.

    Forecast for Mungle (28.8333°S, 150.4°E, 237m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15°
    Maximum 20° 16° 17° 17° 18° 19° 20°
    Chance of rain 90% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Moderate Slight Slight Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW WSW SW SW SW SW SW S SW ENE WSW ENE SW
    Relative humidity 88% 73% 69% 45% 75% 54% 75% 52% 75% 51% 77% 47% 74% 49%
    Dew point 17°C 14°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mungle Rain Forecast


    Mungle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mungle Rain Forecast


    Mungle 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    5
    10
    5
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mungle Rain Forecast


    Mungle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Mungle Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Mungle

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mungle Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    10.5 °C 19.1 °C
    0.6 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    2.2 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    4.6 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    8.5 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mungle minimum temp history (28.8333°S, 150.4°E, 237m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.0° 28/07/2021 Coldest this month 8.5° 01/08/2021
    Hottest on record 35.0 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -5.2 18/08/1970
    Hottest this year 38.0° 22/02/2021 Coldest this year -1.2° 22/07/2021
    Long term average 21.0° Long term average 4.9°
    Average this month 17.3° Average this month 8.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.2° 1994
    Mungle rainfall history (28.8333°S, 150.4°E, 237m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/08/2021 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.2mm 5.2 days Wettest August on record 130.6mm 1966
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1959
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mungle Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 402.5mm 43.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 678.8mm 65.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 408.0mm 52.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 95.6mm Mar23
    Lowest Temperature -1.2°C Jul22
    Highest Temperature 38.0°C Feb22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mungle Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.7 32.8 31.1 27.5 23.0 19.6 19.2 21.0 24.7 28.0 30.5 32.5 27.0
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.7 16.2 11.9 7.9 5.2 4.1 4.9 8.4 12.3 15.3 17.8 11.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.1 74.2 57.5 31.5 38.5 39.0 40.5 34.2 38.8 60.2 64.7 81.4 647.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 6.3 5.4 3.5 4.4 5.6 5.9 5.2 5.0 6.6 6.9 7.8 69.8